Interpretation of Death Rates Data

Death Rate Report for Kentucky by County, Death Years Through 2011 Lung & Bronchus
Healthy People 2020 Objective Number: C-2
Reduce the lung cancer death rate
All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All Ages
Sorted by Rate
County
Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? 1 Annual Death Rate
over rate period deaths per 100,000
(95% Confidence Interval)
Average Deaths per Year
over rate period
Rate Period Recent Trend 2 Recent Average Annual Percent Change2
in Death Rates
(95% Confidence Interval)
Recent Trend Period2
Kentucky (State) No 72.0 (70.9, 73.1) 3,426 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -1.4 (-2.1, -0.7) 2007 - 2011
United States No 48.4 (48.3, 48.5) 158,111 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -2.3 (-2.5, -2.0) 2007 - 2011
Perry County No 116.9 (100.5, 135.3) 38 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.2 (-0.5, 2.8) 2007 - 2011
Powell County No 114.2 (90.6, 142.3) 17 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.9 (-1.0, 2.8) 2007 - 2011
Menifee County No 108.7 (78.2, 148.0) 9 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 2.0 (-1.2, 5.2) 2007 - 2011
Floyd County No 108.4 (95.1, 123.0) 50 2007 - 2011 rising rising trend 1.2 (0.2, 2.2) 2007 - 2011
Union County No 107.5 (86.2, 132.6) 18 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.4 (-0.6, 3.4) 2007 - 2011
Jackson County No 106.3 (84.6, 132.1) 17 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.0 (-1.4, 3.4) 2007 - 2011
Martin County No 101.2 (77.7, 129.6) 13 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.8 (-1.6, 3.3) 2007 - 2011
Monroe County No 100.8 (78.9, 127.4) 15 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.7 (-1.5, 2.9) 2007 - 2011
Rockcastle County No 100.7 (82.0, 122.7) 21 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.7 (-0.9, 2.4) 2007 - 2011
Casey County No 99.4 (81.1, 120.9) 21 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.7 (-0.9, 2.3) 2007 - 2011
Clay County No 98.7 (81.0, 119.2) 23 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.3 (-0.6, 3.3) 2007 - 2011
Ohio County No 98.2 (82.6, 116.0) 29 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.5 (-1.1, 2.0) 2007 - 2011
Letcher County No 98.2 (82.4, 116.3) 29 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.0 (-1.6, 1.5) 2007 - 2011
Breathitt County No 97.1 (77.0, 121.1) 17 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.2 (-3.8, 1.5) 2007 - 2011
Whitley County No 97.0 (83.8, 111.8) 40 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.0 (-1.5, 1.6) 2007 - 2011
Pike County No 94.6 (85.0, 105.1) 73 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.1 (-0.9, 0.8) 2007 - 2011
Owsley County No 94.4 (64.3, 135.5) 6 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.8 (-1.4, 5.1) 2007 - 2011
Johnson County No 94.3 (78.5, 112.5) 26 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.1 (-1.2, 1.5) 2007 - 2011
Simpson County No 93.8 (75.4, 115.3) 19 2007 - 2011 rising rising trend 2.5 (0.8, 4.2) 2007 - 2011
Leslie County No 93.5 (72.1, 119.8) 13 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.8 (-1.1, 2.7) 2007 - 2011
Fulton County No 93.4 (68.2, 126.0) 9 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.7 (-1.1, 2.5) 2007 - 2011
Magoffin County No 92.9 (71.5, 118.7) 13 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.6 (-1.6, 2.9) 2007 - 2011
Lee County No 92.4 (67.1, 124.9) 9 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.1 (-2.7, 2.6) 2007 - 2011
Harlan County No 92.4 (78.7, 107.9) 34 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.2 (-1.3, 1.7) 2007 - 2011
Meade County No 91.0 (74.7, 109.8) 23 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.1 (-2.0, 2.0) 2007 - 2011
Logan County No 89.8 (75.7, 105.9) 29 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.0 (-0.4, 2.3) 2007 - 2011
Knox County No 89.1 (75.8, 104.0) 33 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.2 (-1.3, 1.8) 2007 - 2011
Estill County No 89.0 (70.5, 111.1) 17 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.9 (-0.3, 4.2) 2007 - 2011
McCreary County No 89.0 (70.3, 111.1) 17 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 7.8 (-16.0, 38.2) 2007 - 2011
Trigg County No 87.8 (70.2, 109.1) 18 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.4 (-2.3, 1.4) 2007 - 2011
Wolfe County No 86.6 (60.2, 121.1) 7 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.2 (-3.0, 2.8) 2007 - 2011
Lincoln County No 84.9 (70.5, 101.5) 25 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.7 (-1.2, 2.7) 2007 - 2011
Bracken County No 84.0 (59.8, 115.0) 8 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.7 (-2.8, 1.5) 2007 - 2011
Muhlenberg County No 84.0 (71.8, 97.9) 34 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.5 (-1.7, 0.7) 2007 - 2011
Clinton County No 83.5 (62.7, 109.7) 11 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.7 (-1.0, 4.6) 2007 - 2011
Mason County No 82.2 (65.6, 101.9) 17 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.3 (-1.9, 1.4) 2007 - 2011
Bell County No 81.5 (68.8, 96.1) 30 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.0 (-2.5, 0.6) 2007 - 2011
Metcalfe County No 81.1 (60.8, 106.6) 11 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.6 (-2.2, 3.4) 2007 - 2011
Livingston County No 81.0 (60.7, 106.9) 11 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.4 (-1.9, 2.7) 2007 - 2011
Morgan County No 81.0 (61.7, 104.5) 12 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.4 (-0.9, 3.8) 2007 - 2011
Garrard County No 80.5 (63.5, 100.8) 16 2007 - 2011 rising rising trend 3.8 (1.3, 6.3) 2007 - 2011
Pulaski County No 80.3 (71.8, 89.7) 65 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.3 (-0.7, 1.4) 2007 - 2011
Butler County No 79.9 (61.0, 103.0) 12 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.1 (-2.2, 2.5) 2007 - 2011
Bath County No 79.8 (59.7, 104.6) 11 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.9 (-1.6, 3.5) 2007 - 2011
Edmonson County No 79.8 (60.8, 103.3) 12 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.3 (-1.8, 2.5) 2007 - 2011
Anderson County No 79.8 (63.4, 99.1) 17 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 2.1 (-0.2, 4.4) 2007 - 2011
Lawrence County No 79.3 (61.9, 100.2) 15 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.2 (-1.6, 2.1) 2007 - 2011
Taylor County No 79.2 (65.7, 94.9) 24 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.4 (-0.6, 1.4) 2007 - 2011
Henry County No 78.5 (60.9, 99.8) 14 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.7 (-0.5, 3.9) 2007 - 2011
Pendleton County No 78.2 (59.4, 101.0) 12 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.7 (-2.0, 0.7) 2007 - 2011
Ballard County No 78.1 (56.5, 106.1) 9 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.4 (-3.5, 0.7) 2007 - 2011
Hickman County No 77.8 (52.7, 113.2) 6 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.0 (-2.2, 4.3) 2007 - 2011
Marshall County No 77.7 (66.6, 90.3) 36 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.7 (-0.6, 2.0) 2007 - 2011
Laurel County No 77.3 (67.7, 88.0) 48 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.5 (-0.7, 1.8) 2007 - 2011
Grayson County No 77.1 (63.8, 92.5) 24 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.1 (-1.5, 1.3) 2007 - 2011
Lewis County No 77.1 (59.0, 99.1) 13 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.9 (-1.7, 3.5) 2007 - 2011
Gallatin County No 77.0 (52.8, 108.6) 7 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.1 (-3.7, 1.7) 2007 - 2011
Nicholas County No 77.0 (53.0, 108.7) 7 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.3 (-2.7, 2.2) 2007 - 2011
Daviess County No 76.7 (69.6, 84.2) 88 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.5 (-1.1, 0.0) 2007 - 2011
Franklin County No 76.1 (66.1, 87.3) 42 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.2 (-1.3, 0.9) 2007 - 2011
Mercer County No 75.9 (62.0, 92.3) 21 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.1 (-1.5, 1.3) 2007 - 2011
Hopkins County No 75.4 (65.6, 86.2) 44 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.4 (-1.4, 0.7) 2007 - 2011
Caldwell County No 75.0 (57.9, 96.2) 13 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.1 (-1.7, 2.0) 2007 - 2011
Webster County No 74.6 (57.0, 96.2) 12 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.0 (-2.8, 0.7) 2007 - 2011
Hart County No 74.3 (59.0, 92.6) 17 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.3 (-2.0, 1.4) 2007 - 2011
Boyle County No 73.8 (61.6, 87.8) 26 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.4 (-1.7, 1.0) 2007 - 2011
Knott County No 73.2 (56.4, 93.5) 14 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -5.2 (-9.8, -0.5) 2007 - 2011
Todd County No 73.2 (54.7, 96.2) 11 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.5 (-2.5, 1.6) 2007 - 2011
Graves County No 73.1 (62.6, 85.0) 35 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.4 (-1.0, 1.8) 2007 - 2011
Montgomery County No 72.8 (59.3, 88.5) 21 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.2 (-2.1, 1.8) 2007 - 2011
Wayne County No 72.0 (58.0, 88.6) 19 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.1 (-2.6, 0.4) 2007 - 2011
Henderson County No 71.8 (61.9, 83.0) 38 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.8 (-2.1, 0.6) 2007 - 2011
Campbell County No 71.5 (64.0, 79.7) 67 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.2 (-1.3, 0.8) 2007 - 2011
Russell County No 71.0 (56.4, 88.4) 17 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.0 (-1.2, 3.3) 2007 - 2011
Breckinridge County No 70.8 (56.7, 87.7) 18 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.0 (-1.2, 1.3) 2007 - 2011
Warren County No 70.2 (63.0, 78.0) 71 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.6 (-1.7, 0.4) 2007 - 2011
Kenton County No 70.2 (64.3, 76.5) 109 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.4 (-1.2, 0.4) 2007 - 2011
Rowan County No 69.8 (55.0, 87.4) 16 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.7 (-2.5, 1.1) 2007 - 2011
Trimble County No 69.7 (47.8, 98.4) 7 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.6 (-2.9, 1.8) 2007 - 2011
Carroll County No 69.4 (49.6, 94.8) 8 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.6 (-2.5, 1.4) 2007 - 2011
Jessamine County No 69.2 (58.6, 81.0) 32 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.9 (-2.2, 0.4) 2007 - 2011
Madison County No 69.1 (60.9, 78.0) 53 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.5 (-2.3, 1.5) 2007 - 2011
Carter County No 69.0 (57.0, 82.9) 24 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.4 (-3.1, 0.4) 2007 - 2011
Barren County No 68.9 (59.1, 80.0) 35 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.8 (-2.1, 0.5) 2007 - 2011
McLean County No 68.0 (48.7, 93.0) 8 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.0 (-3.2, 1.2) 2007 - 2011
Clark County No 67.8 (57.0, 80.2) 28 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.4 (-1.9, 1.1) 2007 - 2011
Greenup County No 66.4 (56.6, 77.6) 33 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.6 (-1.9, 0.8) 2007 - 2011
Grant County No 65.9 (51.3, 83.2) 15 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.7 (-3.8, 0.3) 2007 - 2011
Hancock County No 65.8 (45.6, 92.5) 7 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.6 (-1.8, 5.0) 2007 - 2011
Cumberland County No 65.1 (44.6, 93.0) 7 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 1.2 (-1.5, 4.0) 2007 - 2011
Hardin County No 64.9 (57.8, 72.6) 63 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.8 (-1.8, 0.2) 2007 - 2011
Marion County No 64.3 (49.5, 82.1) 13 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.4 (-3.2, 0.5) 2007 - 2011
Scott County No 64.1 (52.7, 77.1) 23 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -1.9 (-3.5, -0.2) 2007 - 2011
Adair County No 64.0 (50.0, 81.0) 15 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.4 (-1.9, 1.1) 2007 - 2011
McCracken County No 63.9 (56.6, 72.0) 56 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.4 (-1.3, 0.5) 2007 - 2011
Jefferson County No 63.5 (61.1, 66.0) 518 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -3.7 (-5.4, -1.9) 2007 - 2011
Nelson County No 63.5 (53.1, 75.4) 28 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -14.0 (-26.7, 0.9) 2007 - 2011
Christian County No 63.4 (54.7, 73.0) 39 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -1.5 (-2.5, -0.5) 2007 - 2011
Crittenden County No 62.8 (44.6, 86.7) 8 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -2.2 (-4.5, 0.0) 2007 - 2011
Lyon County No 62.8 (44.3, 87.7) 8 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.6 (-3.8, 0.7) 2007 - 2011
Bullitt County No 62.3 (53.8, 71.6) 44 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -2.3 (-3.5, -1.1) 2007 - 2011
Elliott County No 62.0 (41.8, 89.5) 6 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -2.1 (-5.7, 1.6) 2007 - 2011
Calloway County No 61.8 (51.5, 73.7) 26 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.2 (-1.8, 1.4) 2007 - 2011
Carlisle County No 61.3 (38.2, 94.9) 4 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.8 (-2.4, 4.1) 2007 - 2011
Boone County No 60.9 (53.9, 68.5) 59 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -1.4 (-2.5, -0.3) 2007 - 2011
Fleming County No 59.7 (44.2, 79.1) 10 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.9 (-3.0, 1.2) 2007 - 2011
Boyd County No 59.2 (51.1, 68.3) 39 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -4.3 (-7.5, -0.9) 2007 - 2011
Owen County No 59.1 (41.9, 81.5) 8 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -1.5 (-4.4, 1.4) 2007 - 2011
Bourbon County No 58.7 (46.0, 74.1) 15 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.7 (-2.5, 1.1) 2007 - 2011
Fayette County No 58.1 (54.0, 62.4) 152 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -1.5 (-2.2, -0.7) 2007 - 2011
Oldham County No 57.7 (47.6, 69.2) 27 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.9 (-2.3, 0.5) 2007 - 2011
Woodford County No 57.5 (44.9, 72.6) 15 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.3 (-2.2, 1.6) 2007 - 2011
Green County No 57.4 (41.7, 77.7) 9 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.1 (-2.1, 2.0) 2007 - 2011
Spencer County No 57.1 (40.6, 77.8) 9 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -3.0 (-5.8, -0.0) 2007 - 2011
Allen County No 56.5 (43.6, 72.2) 13 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 0.0 (-2.4, 2.5) 2007 - 2011
Larue County No 56.5 (41.9, 74.9) 10 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend -0.7 (-2.8, 1.5) 2007 - 2011
Harrison County No 54.4 (41.6, 70.1) 12 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -2.2 (-4.0, -0.3) 2007 - 2011
Washington County No 46.4 (31.8, 65.8) 7 2007 - 2011 stable stable trend 25.5 (-8.4, 71.9) 2007 - 2011
Shelby County Yes 43.1 (34.5, 53.2) 18 2007 - 2011 falling falling trend -11.7 (-19.0, -3.7) 2007 - 2011
Robertson County * * 3 or fewer 2007 - 2011 ** ** **
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 10/23/2014 11:48 am.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Healthy People 2020 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
2 The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2012 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.

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