## Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by State/County Data

**Death Rate/Trend Comparison by State/County, death years through 2011**

New Jersey versus United States

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by Priority Index

New Jersey versus United States

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by Priority Index

**Uterus (Females)**

- The priority index is 1
- The recent trend is rising
- This death rate is above the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 307
- The annual death rate (2011) is 5.3 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.7 to 6.0
- The rate ratio is 1.189177088
- The average annual percent change in death rates is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.0
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Liver & Bile Duct (Males)**

- The priority index is 2
- The recent trend is rising
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 398
- The annual death rate (2011) is 8.9 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 8.0 to 9.9
- The rate ratio is 0.984841629
- The average annual percent change in death rates is 1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.3 to 2.2
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Liver & Bile Duct (Females)**

- The priority index is 3
- The recent trend is rising
- This death rate is below the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 170
- The annual death rate (2011) is 2.9 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.5 to 3.4
- The rate ratio is 0.803394682
- The average annual percent change in death rates is 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.7 to 2.0
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Pancreas (Males)**

- The priority index is 4
- The recent trend is stable
- This death rate is above the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 607
- The annual death rate (2011) is 14.1 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 12.9 to 15.3
- The rate ratio is 1.125733258
- The average annual percent change in death rates is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.6
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Bladder (Males)**

- The priority index is 5
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is above the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 350
- The annual death rate (2011) is 8.7 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 7.8 to 9.7
- The rate ratio is 1.139445830
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.4
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Breast (Females)**

- The priority index is 5
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is above the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 1,396
- The annual death rate (2011) is 24.3 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.0 to 25.6
- The rate ratio is 1.126498095
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -2.1
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Ovary (Females)**

- The priority index is 5
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is above the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 483
- The annual death rate (2011) is 8.4 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 7.6 to 9.2
- The rate ratio is 1.112797318
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.0
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Oral Cavity & Pharynx (Males)**

- The priority index is 6
- The recent trend is stable
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 159
- The annual death rate (2011) is 3.5 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.0 to 4.1
- The rate ratio is 0.915656876
- The average annual percent change in death rates is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.0 to 11.4
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Pancreas (Females)**

- The priority index is 6
- The recent trend is stable
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 586
- The annual death rate (2011) is 10.1 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 9.3 to 11.0
- The rate ratio is 1.063421043
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 0.1
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Thyroid (Females)**

- The priority index is 6
- The recent trend is stable
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 21
- The annual death rate (2011) is 0.4 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 0.6
- The rate ratio is 0.721523049
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to 0.5
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Thyroid (Males)**

- The priority index is 6
- The recent trend is stable
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 18
- The annual death rate (2011) is 0.4 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 0.6
- The rate ratio is 0.752667356
- The average annual percent change in death rates is 1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 3.1
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Bladder (Females)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 151
- The annual death rate (2011) is 2.5 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.1 to 3.0
- The rate ratio is 1.125660614
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.2
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Brain & ONS (Females)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 179
- The annual death rate (2011) is 3.3 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.8 to 3.8
- The rate ratio is 0.949769633
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.2
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Brain & ONS (Males)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 200
- The annual death rate (2011) is 4.6 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 5.3
- The rate ratio is 0.882226027
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.3
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Cervix (Females)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 137
- The annual death rate (2011) is 2.6 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 3.1
- The rate ratio is 1.115474705
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.6
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Childhood (Ages <15, All Sites) (Males)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 23
- The annual death rate (2011) is 2.7 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.7 to 4.0
- The rate ratio is 1.188764470
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -0.6
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Childhood (Ages <20, All Sites) (Females)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 16
- The annual death rate (2011) is 1.4 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.8 to 2.3
- The rate ratio is 0.699660600
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -1.3
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Childhood (Ages <20, All Sites) (Males)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 32
- The annual death rate (2011) is 2.7 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.9 to 3.9
- The rate ratio is 1.068484182
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.2
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Colon & Rectum (Females)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 786
- The annual death rate (2011) is 13.0 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 12.1 to 14.0
- The rate ratio is 1.018912572
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.9 to -3.1
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Colon & Rectum (Males)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 792
- The annual death rate (2011) is 18.6 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.3 to 20.0
- The rate ratio is 1.032451818
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -3.0
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Esophagus (Females)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 93
- The annual death rate (2011) is 1.6 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.3 to 2.0
- The rate ratio is 1.052815585
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.2
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Esophagus (Males)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 325
- The annual death rate (2011) is 7.3 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.6 to 8.2
- The rate ratio is 0.989312382
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.3
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Leukemia (Females)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 280
- The annual death rate (2011) is 5.0 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.4 to 5.6
- The rate ratio is 0.945986253
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.0
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Leukemia (Males)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 393
- The annual death rate (2011) is 9.4 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 8.5 to 10.4
- The rate ratio is 1.011133727
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.9
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Lung & Bronchus (Females)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 2,033
- The annual death rate (2011) is 35.6 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.1 to 37.3
- The rate ratio is 0.962948942
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.3
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Melanoma of the Skin (Males)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 149
- The annual death rate (2011) is 3.5 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.0 to 4.1
- The rate ratio is 0.872583259
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.8
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma (Females)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 279
- The annual death rate (2011) is 4.7 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 5.3
- The rate ratio is 1.007404101
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.1 to -2.9
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma (Males)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 291
- The annual death rate (2011) is 7.1 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.3 to 8.0
- The rate ratio is 0.903863132
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.9 to -3.4
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Prostate (Males)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 785
- The annual death rate (2011) is 19.7 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.4 to 21.2
- The rate ratio is 0.950306099
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.2 to -3.5
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Stomach (Females)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 139
- The annual death rate (2011) is 2.4 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 2.9
- The rate ratio is 1.041744873
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -2.8
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Stomach (Males)**

- The priority index is 8
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is similar to the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 190
- The annual death rate (2011) is 4.4 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 5.1
- The rate ratio is 1.007016024
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.4 to -3.6
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Kidney & Renal Pelvis (Females)**

- The priority index is 9
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is below the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 118
- The annual death rate (2011) is 2.0 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.6 to 2.4
- The rate ratio is 0.773338808
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -2.1
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Kidney & Renal Pelvis (Males)**

- The priority index is 9
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is below the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 204
- The annual death rate (2011) is 4.6 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 5.3
- The rate ratio is 0.803295764
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.4
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Lung & Bronchus (Males)**

- The priority index is 9
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is below the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 2,086
- The annual death rate (2011) is 49.6 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 47.5 to 51.8
- The rate ratio is 0.857220747
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -2.7
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Melanoma of the Skin (Females)**

- The priority index is 9
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is below the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 80
- The annual death rate (2011) is 1.3 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.1 to 1.7
- The rate ratio is 0.800084058
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.4
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Oral Cavity & Pharynx (Females)**

- The priority index is 9
- The recent trend is falling
- This death rate is below the US rate
- The deaths per year (2011) is 51
- The annual death rate (2011) is 0.9 per 100,000 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.6 to 1.1
- The rate ratio is 0.657709008
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.1 to -2.4
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Childhood (Ages <15, All Sites) (Females)**

- The priority index is *
- The recent trend is falling
- The comparison to US is *
- The deaths per year (2011) is *
- The annual death rate (2011) is *
- The rate ratio is *
- The average annual percent change in death rates is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.7 to -1.3
- The recent trend period is 2007 - 2011

**Notes:**

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/05/2015 9:24 pm.

Trend

Rate Comparison

^{2}**Rising**when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.**Stable**when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.**Falling**when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.Rate Comparison

**Above**when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio^{3}> 1.10**Similar**when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.**Below**when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio^{3}< 0.90* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.

** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.

^{1}Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.

^{2}Recent trend in death rates is Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for counties.

^{3}Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate.

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2012 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.

Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).