Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1992-2020)
Incidence, Hawaii, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both SexesIncidence, Hawaii, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 29 years and 1 segmentsDuring 1992-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.3.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 512.5. The estimated rate was 478.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 501.0. The estimated rate was 475.5.
In 1994, the observed rate was 463.9. The estimated rate was 472.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 332.3. The estimated rate was 470.3.
In 1996, the observed rate was 455.9. The estimated rate was 467.6.
In 1997, the observed rate was 376.3. The estimated rate was 465.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 424.9. The estimated rate was 462.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 483.8. The estimated rate was 459.9.
In 2000, the observed rate was 558.6. The estimated rate was 457.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 346.4. The estimated rate was 454.8.
In 2002, the observed rate was 370.6. The estimated rate was 452.3.
In 2003, the observed rate was 519.6. The estimated rate was 449.8.
In 2004, the observed rate was 436.9. The estimated rate was 447.3.
In 2005, the observed rate was 491.4. The estimated rate was 444.8.
In 2006, the observed rate was 473.4. The estimated rate was 442.3.
In 2007, the observed rate was 400.4. The estimated rate was 439.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 423.3. The estimated rate was 437.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 584.7. The estimated rate was 435.0.
In 2010, the observed rate was 353.0. The estimated rate was 432.5.
In 2011, the observed rate was 462.4. The estimated rate was 430.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 450.0. The estimated rate was 427.7.
In 2013, the observed rate was 484.3. The estimated rate was 425.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 437.8. The estimated rate was 423.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 492.1. The estimated rate was 420.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 369.2. The estimated rate was 418.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 397.1. The estimated rate was 416.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 426.6. The estimated rate was 413.7.
In 2019, the observed rate was 321.9. The estimated rate was 411.4.
In 2020, the observed rate was 288.3. The estimated rate was 0.0.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/19/2024 11:48 am.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.