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Historical Trends
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Historical Trends (1975-2009) Incidence, SEER 9 Registries, Lung & Bronchus, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes Incidence, SEER 9 Registries, Lung & Bronchus, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
| | | | Incidence, SEER 9 Registries, Lung & Bronchus, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes |
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| Period | Annual Percent Change 1 (95% Confidence Intervals) | Recent Trend |
| 1975-1987 | 2.0 (1.8, 2.3) | rising |
| 1987-1998 | -0.1 (-0.4, 0.2) | stable |
| 1998-2009 | -1.0 (-1.3, -0.8) | falling |
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| | | | | Year | Observed | Estimated |
| 1975 | 52.0 | 53.5 |
| 1976 | 54.6 | 54.6 |
| 1977 | 55.9 | 55.7 |
| 1978 | 57.3 | 56.9 |
| 1979 | 58.0 | 58.0 |
| 1980 | 59.4 | 59.2 |
| 1981 | 61.5 | 60.4 |
| 1982 | 63.1 | 61.6 |
| 1983 | 63.0 | 62.9 |
| 1984 | 64.4 | 64.2 |
| 1985 | 64.0 | 65.5 |
| 1986 | 65.2 | 66.8 |
| 1987 | 68.1 | 68.2 |
| 1988 | 68.2 | 68.1 |
| 1989 | 67.6 | 68.0 |
| 1990 | 68.2 | 67.9 |
| 1991 | 69.0 | 67.9 |
| 1992 | 68.9 | 67.8 |
| 1993 | 67.8 | 67.7 |
| 1994 | 67.2 | 67.6 |
| 1995 | 67.1 | 67.5 |
| 1996 | 66.8 | 67.5 |
| 1997 | 67.2 | 67.4 |
| 1998 | 68.1 | 67.3 |
| 1999 | 66.3 | 66.6 |
| 2000 | 64.6 | 65.9 |
| 2001 | 65.0 | 65.3 |
| 2002 | 64.6 | 64.6 |
| 2003 | 65.3 | 63.9 |
| 2004 | 62.5 | 63.3 |
| 2005 | 63.6 | 62.7 |
| 2006 | 62.3 | 62.0 |
| 2007 | 62.4 | 61.4 |
| 2008 | 60.2 | 60.8 |
| 2009 | 59.2 | 60.2 |
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| | | | Incidence, SEER 9 Registries, Lung & Bronchus, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes |
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| Period | Annual Percent Change 1 (95% Confidence Intervals) | Recent Trend |
| 1975-1985 | 3.3 (2.3, 4.3) | rising |
| 1985-2009 | -1.0 (-1.2, -0.8) | falling |
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| | | | | Year | Observed | Estimated |
| 1975 | 64.5 | 68.0 |
| 1976 | 72.3 | 70.2 |
| 1977 | 73.6 | 72.5 |
| 1978 | 74.5 | 74.8 |
| 1979 | 74.5 | 77.3 |
| 1980 | 86.6 | 79.8 |
| 1981 | 82.3 | 82.4 |
| 1982 | 80.4 | 85.1 |
| 1983 | 86.6 | 87.8 |
| 1984 | 93.1 | 90.7 |
| 1985 | 89.6 | 93.6 |
| 1986 | 92.9 | 92.7 |
| 1987 | 84.8 | 91.8 |
| 1988 | 88.1 | 90.9 |
| 1989 | 89.0 | 90.0 |
| 1990 | 86.8 | 89.1 |
| 1991 | 93.1 | 88.2 |
| 1992 | 93.9 | 87.4 |
| 1993 | 86.3 | 86.5 |
| 1994 | 87.1 | 85.6 |
| 1995 | 85.7 | 84.8 |
| 1996 | 84.3 | 84.0 |
| 1997 | 82.1 | 83.1 |
| 1998 | 87.0 | 82.3 |
| 1999 | 84.3 | 81.5 |
| 2000 | 79.9 | 80.7 |
| 2001 | 80.0 | 79.9 |
| 2002 | 80.9 | 79.1 |
| 2003 | 80.3 | 78.3 |
| 2004 | 75.3 | 77.6 |
| 2005 | 74.0 | 76.8 |
| 2006 | 75.9 | 76.0 |
| 2007 | 73.4 | 75.3 |
| 2008 | 74.3 | 74.5 |
| 2009 | 72.4 | 73.8 |
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| | | | Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes |
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| Period | Annual Percent Change 1 (95% Confidence Intervals) | Recent Trend |
| 1975-1980 | 2.9 (2.4, 3.4) | rising |
| 1980-1990 | 1.8 (1.6, 2.0) | rising |
| 1990-1995 | -0.1 (-0.6, 0.4) | stable |
| 1995-2005 | -0.9 (-1.0, -0.7) | falling |
| 2005-2009 | -2.0 (-2.5, -1.5) | falling |
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| | | | | Year | Observed | Estimated |
| 1975 | 42.1 | 42.3 |
| 1976 | 43.7 | 43.5 |
| 1977 | 44.8 | 44.8 |
| 1978 | 46.3 | 46.1 |
| 1979 | 47.1 | 47.4 |
| 1980 | 48.8 | 48.8 |
| 1981 | 49.3 | 49.7 |
| 1982 | 50.8 | 50.6 |
| 1983 | 51.7 | 51.5 |
| 1984 | 52.6 | 52.5 |
| 1985 | 53.7 | 53.4 |
| 1986 | 54.4 | 54.4 |
| 1987 | 55.6 | 55.4 |
| 1988 | 56.4 | 56.4 |
| 1989 | 57.2 | 57.4 |
| 1990 | 58.2 | 58.4 |
| 1991 | 58.4 | 58.4 |
| 1992 | 58.3 | 58.4 |
| 1993 | 58.7 | 58.3 |
| 1994 | 58.2 | 58.3 |
| 1995 | 58.1 | 58.2 |
| 1996 | 57.7 | 57.7 |
| 1997 | 57.3 | 57.2 |
| 1998 | 56.9 | 56.7 |
| 1999 | 55.3 | 56.2 |
| 2000 | 56.0 | 55.8 |
| 2001 | 55.5 | 55.3 |
| 2002 | 55.3 | 54.8 |
| 2003 | 54.5 | 54.3 |
| 2004 | 53.7 | 53.9 |
| 2005 | 53.3 | 53.4 |
| 2006 | 52.2 | 52.3 |
| 2007 | 51.2 | 51.3 |
| 2008 | 50.2 | 50.2 |
| 2009 | 49.2 | 49.2 |
| | [return to top]
| | | | Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes |
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| Period | Annual Percent Change 1 (95% Confidence Intervals) | Recent Trend |
| 1975-1977 | 4.7 (2.5, 7.0) | rising |
| 1977-1982 | 3.0 (2.4, 3.6) | rising |
| 1982-1990 | 1.8 (1.6, 2.1) | rising |
| 1990-1995 | -0.7 (-1.2, -0.2) | falling |
| 1995-2005 | -1.7 (-1.8, -1.5) | falling |
| 2005-2009 | -3.0 (-3.5, -2.6) | falling |
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| | | | | Year | Observed | Estimated |
| 1975 | 49.3 | 49.1 |
| 1976 | 51.1 | 51.5 |
| 1977 | 54.6 | 53.9 |
| 1978 | 55.3 | 55.5 |
| 1979 | 56.4 | 57.1 |
| 1980 | 59.2 | 58.8 |
| 1981 | 60.6 | 60.6 |
| 1982 | 62.3 | 62.4 |
| 1983 | 63.7 | 63.5 |
| 1984 | 65.1 | 64.7 |
| 1985 | 65.8 | 65.9 |
| 1986 | 67.0 | 67.1 |
| 1987 | 68.6 | 68.4 |
| 1988 | 69.2 | 69.6 |
| 1989 | 71.0 | 70.9 |
| 1990 | 72.1 | 72.2 |
| 1991 | 71.6 | 71.7 |
| 1992 | 71.4 | 71.2 |
| 1993 | 71.1 | 70.7 |
| 1994 | 70.2 | 70.2 |
| 1995 | 69.3 | 69.7 |
| 1996 | 68.3 | 68.6 |
| 1997 | 67.9 | 67.4 |
| 1998 | 66.9 | 66.3 |
| 1999 | 65.0 | 65.2 |
| 2000 | 63.8 | 64.1 |
| 2001 | 62.6 | 63.1 |
| 2002 | 62.2 | 62.0 |
| 2003 | 61.1 | 61.0 |
| 2004 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| 2005 | 58.9 | 59.0 |
| 2006 | 57.1 | 57.2 |
| 2007 | 55.8 | 55.5 |
| 2008 | 53.6 | 53.8 |
| 2009 | 52.2 | 52.2 |
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Notes: Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/25/2013 7:22 am.Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program.1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2009 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2011 data.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2009 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
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