State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, District of Columbia, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, District of Columbia, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 2 segments
During 1990-1994, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to 3.1.
During 1994-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -2.2.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 268.1. The estimated rate was 267.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 272.5. The estimated rate was 268.6.
In 1992, the observed rate was 268.9. The estimated rate was 269.5.
In 1993, the observed rate was 257.6. The estimated rate was 270.5.
In 1994, the observed rate was 278.5. The estimated rate was 271.5.
In 1995, the observed rate was 267.2. The estimated rate was 265.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 250.6. The estimated rate was 258.7.
In 1997, the observed rate was 245.9. The estimated rate was 252.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 246.4. The estimated rate was 246.6.
In 1999, the observed rate was 241.5. The estimated rate was 240.7.
In 2000, the observed rate was 238.4. The estimated rate was 235.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 237.5. The estimated rate was 229.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 231.8. The estimated rate was 224.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 200.7. The estimated rate was 218.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 206.2. The estimated rate was 213.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 206.2. The estimated rate was 208.4.
In 2006, the observed rate was 210.8. The estimated rate was 203.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 208.8. The estimated rate was 198.6.
In 2008, the observed rate was 201.8. The estimated rate was 193.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 196.9. The estimated rate was 189.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 178.4. The estimated rate was 184.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 180.3. The estimated rate was 180.4.
In 2012, the observed rate was 176.9. The estimated rate was 176.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 175.1. The estimated rate was 172.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 175.2. The estimated rate was 167.9.
In 2015, the observed rate was 163.1. The estimated rate was 163.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 155.5. The estimated rate was 160.0.
In 2017, the observed rate was 152.1. The estimated rate was 156.2.
In 2018, the observed rate was 154.6. The estimated rate was 152.5.
In 2019, the observed rate was 147.2. The estimated rate was 148.9.
In 2020, the observed rate was 138.4. The estimated rate was 145.3.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/18/2024 7:05 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.