## Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data

### Incidence Rate Report for by County

Breast, 2008-2012

All Races (includes Hispanic), Female, All Ages

Sorted by Rate

**Explanation of Column Headers**

**Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval)**- The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.

**Recent Trends** - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:

**Rising**when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.**Stable**when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.**Falling**when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.

**AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval)** - the change in rate over time

- Average Annual Percent Change - AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
- Annual Percent Change - APCs calculated in SEER*Stat.

**Other Notes**

**Line by Line Interpretation of the Report**

#### Arkansas^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 107.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 105.7 to 110.1 and 1,890 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 3.1.

#### US (SEER+NPCR)^{1,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 123.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 122.8 to 123.2 and 220,205 § average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.8.

#### Nevada County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 70.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 43.6 to 109.9 and 4 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 cases were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

#### Searcy County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 72.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 44.8 to 114.4 and 5 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 cases were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

#### St. Francis County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 74.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 56.6 to 97.2 and 12 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 cases were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

#### Scott County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 77.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 50.0 to 114.8 and 5 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Lee County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 79.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 51.5 to 118.6 and 5 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Prairie County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 80.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 50.5 to 124.3 and 5 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Logan County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 81.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 62.1 to 106.4 and 12 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Newton County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 82.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 51.4 to 127.0 and 5 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Jackson County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 84.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 62.6 to 112.1 and 10 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Independence County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 84.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 68.7 to 103.6 and 20 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -7.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -22.9 to 11.9.

#### Stone County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 84.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 60.5 to 117.5 and 9 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Fulton County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 86.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 59.8 to 121.5 and 8 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Greene County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 88.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 72.2 to 106.8 and 22 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 13.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -12.0 to 46.2.

#### Franklin County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 88.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 65.7 to 116.7 and 11 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Arkansas County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 88.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 67.0 to 115.0 and 12 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Craighead County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 88.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 77.4 to 101.1 and 46 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to 2.7.

#### Perry County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 89.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 60.3 to 129.0 and 6 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Crittenden County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 89.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 74.3 to 107.3 and 24 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.8 to 19.7.

#### Lincoln County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 90.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 60.8 to 129.2 and 6 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Mississippi County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 91.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 75.9 to 109.8 and 24 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -17.3 to 24.5.

#### Poinsett County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 91.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 71.6 to 116.4 and 15 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 7.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 17.1.

#### Hot Spring County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 92.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 75.1 to 113.9 and 20 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -35.8 to 47.2.

#### Pike County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 93.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 63.9 to 133.6 and 7 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Montgomery County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 95.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 64.5 to 138.8 and 7 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Madison County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 95.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 68.9 to 130.0 and 9 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Yell County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 96.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 73.8 to 123.6 and 13 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Cross County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 97.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 72.8 to 128.0 and 11 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Hempstead County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 97.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 75.3 to 125.1 and 13 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Clay County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 98.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 73.7 to 128.8 and 12 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Lafayette County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 98.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 61.8 to 150.6 and 5 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Polk County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 98.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 76.3 to 126.8 and 14 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Miller County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 99.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 82.6 to 118.8 and 25 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 13.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.3 to 37.9.

#### Lawrence County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 100.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 75.4 to 130.8 and 12 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Ashley County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 100.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 77.2 to 128.1 and 14 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Clark County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 100.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 77.6 to 129.2 and 13 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Boone County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 101.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 84.2 to 120.8 and 27 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -17.8 to 10.7.

#### Monroe County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 101.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 70.0 to 145.9 and 7 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Columbia County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 102.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 80.4 to 130.0 and 15 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -34.0 to 47.9.

#### Desha County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 103.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 72.4 to 142.6 and 8 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Cleveland County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 104.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 69.2 to 152.2 and 6 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Johnson County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 104.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 82.6 to 130.7 and 16 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -11.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -27.8 to 8.6.

#### White County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 104.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 91.7 to 119.5 and 47 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.0 to 10.5.

#### Lonoke County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 105.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 90.7 to 121.2 and 39 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 10.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 23.7.

#### Sevier County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 105.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 77.1 to 140.3 and 9 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Marion County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 107.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 81.5 to 139.3 and 15 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 23.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.5 to 62.1.

#### Carroll County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 107.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 87.7 to 131.8 and 21 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -6.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -18.4 to 8.0.

#### Sebastian County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 107.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 97.3 to 119.4 and 79 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.7 to 4.4.

#### Grant County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 108.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 81.5 to 141.1 and 11 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Pope County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 108.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 93.3 to 125.5 and 38 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -17.2 to 11.2.

#### Little River County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 109.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 79.3 to 148.2 and 9 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Randolph County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 109.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 84.1 to 141.0 and 14 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Benton County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 109.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 101.4 to 118.7 and 128 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.3 to 12.4.

#### Jefferson County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 109.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 96.5 to 124.7 and 51 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -7.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -22.0 to 10.6.

#### Ouachita County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 110.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 89.3 to 134.5 and 21 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 8.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to 20.3.

#### Cleburne County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 110.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 89.2 to 136.3 and 22 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 9.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.9 to 27.1.

#### Sharp County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 111.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 85.8 to 143.8 and 15 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -12.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -38.5 to 25.6.

#### Crawford County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 112.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 97.6 to 129.9 and 40 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 8.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.8 to 32.8.

#### Conway County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 113.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 89.2 to 142.7 and 16 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -31.0 to 57.0.

#### Bradley County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 113.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 80.4 to 156.3 and 8 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Garland County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 113.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 102.9 to 125.8 and 87 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -14.4 to 9.1.

#### Union County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 113.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 96.0 to 134.3 and 30 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -6.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -15.6 to 4.3.

#### Izard County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 114.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 85.1 to 151.7 and 12 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Drew County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 114.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 87.7 to 147.7 and 13 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Chicot County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 115.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 82.5 to 157.4 and 9 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Washington County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 115.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 106.3 to 126.2 and 109 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.8 to 4.9.

#### Saline County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 116.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 104.7 to 128.9 and 76 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.2 to 6.6.

#### Faulkner County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 116.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 103.7 to 130.2 and 62 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.2 to 12.5.

#### Dallas County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 116.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 78.9 to 168.3 and 7 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Woodruff County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 120.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 78.2 to 177.5 and 6 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Van Buren County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 120.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 92.5 to 155.2 and 15 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 6.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -15.5 to 33.4.

#### Baxter County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 121.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 105.4 to 140.7 and 47 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -15.4 to 23.9.

#### Pulaski County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 124.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.7 to 131.2 and 275 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.2 to 9.8.

#### Howard County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 134.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 101.9 to 175.6 and 12 average annual cases over 2008-2012.

#### Phillips County^{6,10}

- Rate : The incidence rate is 135.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 107.6 to 167.5 and 18 average annual cases over 2008-2012.
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -20.7 to 39.6.

**Calhoun County**

^{6,10}- Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 cases were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

**Notes:**

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/31/2016 12:06 pm.

Data for the United States does not include data from Nevada.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.

† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2013 US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.

‡ Incidence data come from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each area for additional information.

§ The total count for the US (SEER+NPCR) may differ from the summation of the individual states reported in this table. The total uses data from the CDC's National Program of Cancer Registries Cancer Surveillance System (NPCR-CSS) January 2015 data submission for the following states: California, Kentucky, Louisiana, and New Jersey but data for those states when shown individually are sourced from the SEER November 2014 submission.

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 cases were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

^{1}Source: CDC's National Program of Cancer Registries Cancer Surveillance System (NPCR-CSS) November 2014 data submission and SEER November 2014 submission.

^{6}Source: State Cancer Registry and the CDC's National Program of Cancer Registries Cancer Surveillance System (NPCR-CSS) November 2014 data submission. State rates include rates from metropolitan areas funded by SEER.

^{10}Source: Incidence data provided by the National Program of Cancer Registries (NPCR). EAPCs calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2013 US Population Data File is used with NPCR November 2014 data.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availablility, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.