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Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data

Incidence Rate Report for Pennsylvania by County

All Races (includes Hispanic), Female, Colon & Rectum, All Ages
Sorted by Rate

Explanation of Column Headers

Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.

Other Notes

  • Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
  • Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.


    Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


    Pennsylvania6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 41.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.5 to 41.7.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 3,667.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : falling falling trend
    • Recent AAPC : -4.2
    US (SEER+NPCR)1,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 37.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.7 to 38.0.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 68,991 §.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : falling falling trend
    • Recent AAPC : -4
    Montour County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 30.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.4 to 47.8.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 5.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : rising rising trend
    • Recent AAPC : 31.7
    Union County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 33.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.7 to 45.4.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 10.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -9
    Bedford County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 34.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.4 to 44.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 13.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -14
    Susquehanna County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 34.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.6 to 45.7.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 11.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -15.8
    Wyoming County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 34.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.0 to 49.2.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 7.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -9.6
    Erie County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 34.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.1 to 39.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 65.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : falling falling trend
    • Recent AAPC : -9.6
    Northumberland County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 35.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.3 to 41.9.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 28.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : 1.3
    Beaver County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 36.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.7 to 41.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 51.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -9.2
    Lehigh County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 36.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.8 to 39.8.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 88.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -2.9
    Butler County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 36.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.0 to 41.8.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 48.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -7.8
    Somerset County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 37.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.4 to 45.2.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 23.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : 2.5
    Tioga County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 37.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.9 to 49.0.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 11.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -16.6
    Perry County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 37.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.9 to 49.8.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 10.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -18.2
    Centre County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 37.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.7 to 44.7.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 28.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -5.5
    Montgomery County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 37.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.5 to 40.3.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 214.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -0.6
    Bucks County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 38.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.5 to 41.0.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 159.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -6.6
    Mifflin County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 38.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.7 to 49.4.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 14.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : 11.6
    Lebanon County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 38.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.2 to 44.6.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 39.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -5.6
    Juniata County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 38.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.9 to 55.8.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 6.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -9.3
    Chester County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 38.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.6 to 42.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 117.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : falling falling trend
    • Recent AAPC : -5.8
    Lancaster County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 38.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.9 to 42.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 134.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : falling falling trend
    • Recent AAPC : -5.8
    Armstrong County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 39.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.2 to 48.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 22.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -5
    Pike County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 39.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.0 to 50.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 15.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -4.4
    Allegheny County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 40.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.3 to 42.0.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 388.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -2.8
    Carbon County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 40.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.5 to 49.9.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 19.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -6
    Berks County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 40.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.3 to 44.4.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 109.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : falling falling trend
    • Recent AAPC : -7.3
    Potter County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 40.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.9 to 62.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 5.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -4.7
    Northampton County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 40.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.0 to 45.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 86.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : 0.9
    Columbia County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 41.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.1 to 50.6.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 20.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : 2.8
    Monroe County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 41.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.5 to 47.5.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 39.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -1.7
    York County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 41.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.8 to 44.8.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 113.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -4.6
    Lawrence County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 41.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.9 to 48.8.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 32.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -6.5
    Elk County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 41.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.8 to 55.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 11.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -11.2
    Adams County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 41.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.0 to 49.3.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 28.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -3.3
    Warren County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 41.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.4 to 53.5.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 14.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -12.5
    Clinton County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 42.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.5 to 55.4.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 11.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -0.8
    Huntingdon County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 42.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.2 to 55.2.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 12.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -2.7
    Indiana County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 42.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.3 to 51.0.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 26.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -2.7
    Fayette County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 42.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.2 to 49.0.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 47.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -3.9
    Dauphin County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 42.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.5 to 47.5.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 75.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : 2.2
    Crawford County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 43.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.9 to 51.2.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 27.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -12.3
    Delaware County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 43.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.2 to 46.4.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 166.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -5.2
    Washington County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 43.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.8 to 48.3.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 72.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -5.3
    Westmoreland County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 43.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.0 to 47.0.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 132.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -4.5
    Luzerne County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 43.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.1 to 47.7.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 116.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -0.8
    Franklin County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 43.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.2 to 50.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 46.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -1.2
    Cumberland County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 43.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 39.3 to 48.8.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 72.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -5.2
    Greene County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 43.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.8 to 57.7.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 11.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -12
    Cambria County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 43.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.5 to 50.0.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 54.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -1.4
    Philadelphia County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 43.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 42.0 to 45.9.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 398.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -5
    Lackawanna County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 44.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 39.7 to 49.2.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 78.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -2.8
    Blair County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 44.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.6 to 51.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 45.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : 5.2
    Jefferson County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 44.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.2 to 56.3.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 16.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -4
    McKean County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 45.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.9 to 58.1.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 14.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : falling falling trend
    • Recent AAPC : -23.4
    Wayne County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 45.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.8 to 57.9.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 17.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : 15.5
    Venango County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 45.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 36.7 to 56.8.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 19.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : 3.2
    Bradford County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 46.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.5 to 56.3.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 21.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : 1.6
    Mercer County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 46.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.4 to 53.8.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 43.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -1.3
    Clearfield County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 47.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 39.6 to 56.2.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 28.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -11.8
    Lycoming County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 49.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 42.4 to 56.7.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 41.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -5.7
    Snyder County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 50.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.5 to 64.4.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 13.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : falling falling trend
    • Recent AAPC : -14.1
    Clarion County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 51.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.1 to 65.6.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 14.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : 7.1
    Schuylkill County6,10
    • Rate : The incidence rate is 52.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 46.6 to 59.2.
    • Average Annual Count : The count is 61.
    • Rate Period : The period for the rate is 2007-2011.
    • Recent Trend : stable stable trend
    • Recent AAPC : -6.3
    Cameron County6,10
    • Rate : *
    • Average Annual Count : *
    • Rate Period : *
    • Recent Trend : *
    • Recent AAPC : *
    Forest County6,10
    • Rate : *
    • Average Annual Count : *
    • Rate Period : *
    • Recent Trend : *
    • Recent AAPC : *
    Fulton County6,10
    • Rate : *
    • Average Annual Count : *
    • Rate Period : *
    • Recent Trend : *
    • Recent AAPC : *
    Sullivan County6,10
    • Rate : *
    • Average Annual Count : *
    • Rate Period : *
    • Recent Trend : *
    • Recent AAPC : *


    Notes:
    Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 10/25/2014 3:04 am.
    Data for the United States does not include data from Nevada.
    State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
    † Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2012 US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
    § The total count for the US (SEER+NPCR) may differ from the summation of the individual states reported in this table. The total uses data from the CDC's National Program of Cancer Registries Cancer Surveillance System (NPCR-CSS) January 2013 data submission for the following states: California, Kentucky, Louisiana, and New Jersey but data for those states when shown individually are sourced from the SEER November 2013 submission.
    * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 cases were reported in a specific area-sex-race category.

    1 Source: CDC's National Program of Cancer Registries Cancer Surveillance System (NPCR-CSS) January 2014 data submission and SEER November 2013 submission.
    6 Source: State Cancer Registry and the CDC's National Program of Cancer Registries Cancer Surveillance System (NPCR-CSS) January 2014 data submission. State rates include rates from metropolitan areas funded by SEER.
    10 Source: Incidence data provided by the National Program of Cancer Registries (NPCR). EAPCs calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2012 US Population Data File is used with NPCR January 2014 data.

    Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availablility, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are EAPCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

    Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

    Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.