State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Arizona Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Male

Sorted by priority index

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index ¹ - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

United States

• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.7.
• Rate : The death rate is 171.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 171.3 to 171.8 and 318,737 average annual deaths.

Arizona

• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.5.
• Rate : The death rate is 151.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 150.0 to 153.3 and 6,868 average annual deaths.

Mohave County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.7.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 196.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 187.4 to 205.2 and 453 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Apache County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.7.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 155.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 137.1 to 175.5 and 56 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Greenlee County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.2 to 0.0.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 213.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 154.4 to 287.4 and 9 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

La Paz County (3)

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 2.6.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 195.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.0 to 234.7 and 39 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Cochise County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.6.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 173.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.0 to 186.1 and 176 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Gila County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -1.3.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 157.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 141.9 to 175.7 and 83 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Graham County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -1.1.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 158.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 133.5 to 185.6 and 31 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Navajo County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.3.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 160.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 146.2 to 174.8 and 110 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Pima County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.5 to -1.6.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 154.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 150.4 to 158.8 and 1,108 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Yavapai County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.6.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 167.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 159.3 to 175.4 and 412 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Coconino County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.7.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 136.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 123.1 to 149.9 and 91 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8

Maricopa County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -2.0.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 148.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 145.8 to 150.2 and 3,610 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Pinal County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.1.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 143.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 137.8 to 150.1 and 459 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8

Santa Cruz County

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -0.3.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 129.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.7 to 149.7 and 39 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8

Yuma County (3)

• Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
• Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.7.
• County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
• Rate : The death rate is 132.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 123.9 to 141.5 and 192 average annual deaths.
• Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/22/2026 12:30 am.


¹ Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
² Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
³ Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
³ Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected geographic areas.


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.