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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Texas Counties versus United States

All Cancer Sites

All Races, Male

Sorted by priority index

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Texas


Johnson County


Starr County


Anderson County


Angelina County


Aransas County


Baylor County


Bosque County


Brazoria County


Caldwell County


Calhoun County


Camp County


Cass County


Childress County


Coleman County


Colorado County


Delta County


Dimmit County


Ector County


Ellis County


Fannin County


Grayson County


Hamilton County


Hill County


Howard County


Jasper County


Jim Wells County


Knox County


Lavaca County


Leon County


Madison County


Matagorda County


McCulloch County


Nolan County


Palo Pinto County


Parker County


Polk County


Potter County


Rains County


Red River County


Reeves County


Refugio County


Robertson County


Runnels County


San Augustine County


San Jacinto County


Scurry County


Shelby County


Terry County


Trinity County


Upshur County


Wilbarger County


Wise County


Young County


Bowie County


Brown County


Cherokee County


Coryell County


Eastland County


Galveston County


Gregg County


Hardin County


Henderson County


Hopkins County


Hunt County


Jefferson County


Kaufman County


Lamar County


Lampasas County


Liberty County


Lubbock County


Morris County


Nacogdoches County


Navarro County


Newton County


Orange County


Panola County


Rusk County


San Patricio County


Taylor County


Wichita County


Wood County


Archer County


Bandera County


Bee County


Blanco County


Brooks County


Callahan County


Carson County


Castro County


Clay County


Cochran County


Coke County


Crane County


Crockett County


Crosby County


Dallam County


Dawson County


DeWitt County


Deaf Smith County


Donley County


Fisher County


Floyd County


Frio County


Gaines County


Garza County


Goliad County


Gonzales County


Gray County


Hansford County


Hardeman County


Haskell County


Hockley County


Hood County


Jim Hogg County


Jones County


Karnes County


Kimble County


Kinney County


La Salle County


Lamb County


Lee County


Limestone County


Lipscomb County


Live Oak County


Lynn County


Martin County


Mason County


Maverick County


McLennan County


Milam County


Mitchell County


Moore County


Parmer County


Pecos County


Randall County


Real County


San Saba County


Somervell County


Stephens County


Sutton County


Swisher County


Titus County


Uvalde County


Waller County


Ward County


Webb County


Wheeler County


Willacy County


Winkler County


Yoakum County


Zapata County


Zavala County


Cameron County


Andrews County


Atascosa County


Austin County


Bastrop County


Bell County


Bexar County


Brazos County


Burleson County


Burnet County


Chambers County


Comal County


Comanche County


Cooke County


Dallas County


Duval County


Erath County


Falls County


Fayette County


Franklin County


Freestone County


Grimes County


Guadalupe County


Hale County


Hall County


Harris County


Harrison County


Hays County


Houston County


Hutchinson County


Jack County


Jackson County


Kendall County


Kerr County


Kleberg County


Llano County


Marion County


Medina County


Midland County


Mills County


Montague County


Montgomery County


Nueces County


Rockwall County


Sabine County


Smith County


Tarrant County


Tom Green County


Tyler County


Val Verde County


Van Zandt County


Victoria County


Walker County


Washington County


Wharton County


Wilson County


Brewster County


Collin County


Denton County


El Paso County


Fort Bend County


Gillespie County


Hidalgo County


Travis County


Williamson County


Bailey County Collingsworth County Concho County Edwards County Hartley County Hudspeth County Jeff Davis County Ochiltree County Presidio County Reagan County Armstrong County Borden County Briscoe County Cottle County Culberson County Dickens County Foard County Glasscock County Hemphill County Irion County Kenedy County Kent County King County Loving County McMullen County Menard County Motley County Oldham County Roberts County Schleicher County Shackelford County Sherman County Sterling County Stonewall County Terrell County Throckmorton County Upton County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/22/2026 12:22 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Armstrong County, Borden County, Briscoe County, Cottle County, Culberson County, Dickens County, Foard County, Glasscock County, Hemphill County, Irion County, Kenedy County, Kent County, King County, Loving County, McMullen County, Menard County, Motley County, Oldham County, Roberts County, Schleicher County, Shackelford County, Sherman County, Sterling County, Stonewall County, Terrell County, Throckmorton County, Upton County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Bailey County, Collingsworth County, Concho County, Edwards County, Hartley County, Hudspeth County, Jeff Davis County, Ochiltree County, Presidio County, Reagan County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.