Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
Pennsylvania Counties versus United States
Esophagus
All Races, Both Sexes
Sorted by priority index
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -1.1.
- Rate : The death rate is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 3.8 and 15,567 average annual deaths.
Pennsylvania
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.8.
- Rate : The death rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 4.6 and 798 average annual deaths.
Clearfield County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 1.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 2.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.7 to 9.1 and 8 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.7
Fayette County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 1.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 3.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 8.2 and 11 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.6
Lackawanna County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 1.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 2.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.4 to 8.2 and 20 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.8
Luzerne County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 1.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising because the trend is 2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.2 to 2.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.1 to 7.1 and 30 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.6
Schuylkill County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 1.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising because the trend is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.3 to 3.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.0 to 8.2 and 14 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.7
Westmoreland County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 1.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.9 to 2.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 6.1 and 30 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Mercer County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 2.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is rising because the trend is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 4.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 7.0 and 9 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.4
Erie County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 2.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 6.0 and 18 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Franklin County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 3.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 7.7 and 13 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.6
Monroe County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 1.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 7.3 and 13 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.5
York County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 1.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 5.5 and 28 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Allegheny County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 4.9 and 78 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Armstrong County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to 1.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.8 to 6.6 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Beaver County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.7 to 6.4 and 13 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Berks County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to 0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.2 to 4.8 and 21 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Blair County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 2.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.2 to 6.1 and 9 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Bucks County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 4.5 and 36 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Butler County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 1.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 6.3 and 13 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Cambria County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 1.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 6.0 and 10 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Carbon County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 3.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.0 to 7.4 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Centre County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to 0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.9 to 5.8 and 7 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Chester County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 4.7 and 26 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Columbia County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 2.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.7 to 8.3 and 6 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.5
Crawford County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 2.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.6 to 7.5 and 7 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.4
Cumberland County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.9 to 4.8 and 13 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Dauphin County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 3.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.5 to 5.6 and 16 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Delaware County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 4.5 and 28 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Indiana County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to 1.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.1 to 5.4 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Lancaster County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 4.4 and 27 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Lawrence County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 1.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 7.1 and 6 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Lebanon County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.8 to 5.6 and 8 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Lycoming County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 2.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 7.1 and 9 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.4
Montgomery County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 4.1 and 42 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Northampton County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.8 to 4.5 and 16 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Northumberland County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 3.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.6 to 7.4 and 7 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.4
Venango County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 3.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 8.4 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.4
Washington County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 1.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.7 to 6.1 and 15 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Lehigh County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 4.7 and 19 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Philadelphia County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.5 to 4.4 and 69 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 6.6 and 7 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.0 to 7.9 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.1 to 6.0 and 3 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.5 to 9.8 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.6
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.5 to 9.2 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.5
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.6 to 9.6 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.6
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.5 to 10.3 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.8
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 8.6 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.4
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.4 to 6.8 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.5 to 4.8 and 3 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 8.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.3 to 12.4 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 2.2
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 6.2 and 3 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/16/2024 12:36 pm.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Cameron County, Clinton County, Elk County, Forest County, Fulton County, Greene County, Huntingdon County, Juniata County, Montour County, Potter County, Snyder County, Sullivan County, Susquehanna County, Tioga County, Union County, Wyoming County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Adams County, Bedford County, Bradford County, Clarion County, Jefferson County, McKean County, Mifflin County, Perry County, Pike County, Somerset County, Warren County, Wayne County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.