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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Minnesota Counties versus United States

Pancreas

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by priority index

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Minnesota


Hennepin County


Sibley County


Aitkin County


Anoka County


Beltrami County


Benton County


Blue Earth County


Brown County


Carlton County


Carver County


Cass County


Chisago County


Clay County


Dakota County


Douglas County


Fillmore County


Hubbard County


Itasca County


Kandiyohi County


McLeod County


Mille Lacs County


Morrison County


Mower County


Olmsted County


Otter Tail County


Polk County


Ramsey County


Rice County


Scott County


Sherburne County


St. Louis County


Stearns County


Steele County


Todd County


Wabasha County


Washington County


Winona County


Wright County


Crow Wing County


Becker County Freeborn County Goodhue County Houston County Isanti County Kanabec County Koochiching County Le Sueur County Lyon County Martin County Meeker County Nicollet County Pine County Redwood County Renville County Wadena County Big Stone County Chippewa County Clearwater County Cook County Cottonwood County Dodge County Faribault County Grant County Jackson County Kittson County Lac qui Parle County Lake County Lake of the Woods County Lincoln County Mahnomen County Marshall County Murray County Nobles County Norman County Pennington County Pipestone County Pope County Red Lake County Rock County Roseau County Stevens County Swift County Traverse County Waseca County Watonwan County Wilkin County Yellow Medicine County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/20/2026 3:49 pm.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Big Stone County, Chippewa County, Clearwater County, Cook County, Cottonwood County, Dodge County, Faribault County, Grant County, Jackson County, Kittson County, Lac qui Parle County, Lake County, Lake of the Woods County, Lincoln County, Mahnomen County, Marshall County, Murray County, Nobles County, Norman County, Pennington County, Pipestone County, Pope County, Red Lake County, Rock County, Roseau County, Stevens County, Swift County, Traverse County, Waseca County, Watonwan County, Wilkin County, Yellow Medicine County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Becker County, Freeborn County, Goodhue County, Houston County, Isanti County, Kanabec County, Koochiching County, Le Sueur County, Lyon County, Martin County, Meeker County, Nicollet County, Pine County, Redwood County, Renville County, Wadena County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.