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Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer

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Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, death years through 2013
Virginia Counties versus United States

Colon & Rectum
All Races, Both Sexes

  Above US Rate Similar to US Rate Below US Rate
Priority 1: rising and above

Priority 2: rising and similar

Charlottesville City 
Priority 3: rising and below

Priority 4: stable and above

Danville City
Dinwiddie County
Louisa County
Southampton County
Suffolk City
Tazewell County 
Priority 6: stable and similar

Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City
Amherst County
Bedford City and County
Botetourt County
Bristol City
Buchanan County
Carroll County
Charlotte County
Colonial Heights City
Culpeper County
Fairfax City
Frederick County
Giles County
Harrisonburg City
Henry County
Hopewell City
Isle of Wight County
King William County
Lancaster County
Lee County
Martinsville City
Montgomery County
Nelson County
Nottoway County
Page County
Pittsylvania County
Portsmouth City
Prince Edward County
Pulaski County
Rockingham County
Russell County
Salem City
Scott County
Smyth County
Staunton City
Washington County
Waynesboro City
Westmoreland County
Wise County 
Priority 7: stable and below

Albemarle County 
Priority 5: falling and above

Richmond City 
Priority 8: falling and similar

Accomack County
Augusta County
Brunswick County
Campbell County
Caroline County
Chesapeake City
Chesterfield County
Fauquier County
Franklin County
Gloucester County
Halifax County with South Boston City
Hampton City
Hanover County
Henrico County
Loudoun County
Lynchburg City
Madison County
Mecklenburg County
Newport News City
Norfolk City
Orange County
Petersburg City
Prince George County
Roanoke City
Roanoke County
Rockbridge County
Spotsylvania County
Stafford County
Warren County
Winchester City
Wythe County 
Priority 9: falling and below

Alexandria City
Arlington County
Fairfax County
Prince William County
Shenandoah County
Virginia Beach City
York County 
Created by on 05/27/2017 6:04 am.
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program (Version Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate.

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2013 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.

Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Amelia County, Appomattox County, Bath County, Bland County, Buckingham County, Buena Vista City, Charles City County, Covington City, Craig County, Cumberland County, Emporia City, Essex County, Falls Church City, Floyd County, Franklin City, Galax City, Goochland County, Grayson County, Greene County, Greensville County, Highland County, King and Queen County, Lexington City, Lunenburg County, Manassas Park City, Norton City, Poquoson City, Radford City, Rappahannock County, Richmond County, Surry County, Sussex County, Williamsburg City

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Clarke County, Dickenson County, Fluvanna County, Fredericksburg City, James City County, King George County, Manassas City, Mathews County, Middlesex County, New Kent County, Northampton County, Northumberland County, Patrick County, Powhatan County