  Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report by StateAll Cancer Sites, 2012-2016All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Rate

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 161.4 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

• Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 161.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 160.8 to 161.1 and 590,623 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.5.

#### Kentucky

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 197.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 196.2 to 199.7 and 10,206 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.9.

#### Mississippi

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 193.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 191.5 to 195.8 and 6,522 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.9.

#### West Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 189.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 187.0 to 191.9 and 4,756 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.9.

#### Arkansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 185.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 183.1 to 187.2 and 6,623 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.9.

#### Tennessee

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 184.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 182.6 to 185.3 and 14,111 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.2.

#### Oklahoma

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 183.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 181.9 to 185.5 and 8,082 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.7.

#### Louisiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 183.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 181.3 to 184.7 and 9,346 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.5.

#### Alabama

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 179.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 177.4 to 180.6 and 10,332 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.4.

#### Indiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 178.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 177.0 to 179.8 and 13,416 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.2.

#### Ohio

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 177.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 176.1 to 178.1 and 25,317 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -1.2.

#### Missouri

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 175.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 174.2 to 177.0 and 12,920 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.2.

#### Maine

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 174.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 171.3 to 176.8 and 3,267 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.2.

#### South Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 171.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 170.3 to 173.4 and 9,942 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.

#### Michigan

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 170.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 169.4 to 171.5 and 20,727 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -1.1.

#### Delaware

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 169.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 166.2 to 173.0 and 1,989 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

#### Pennsylvania

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 169.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 168.1 to 169.9 and 28,658 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.4.

#### District of Columbia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 169.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 164.5 to 173.7 and 1,082 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -2.1.

#### Illinois

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 168.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 167.5 to 169.4 and 24,531 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.5.

#### North Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 166.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 165.8 to 168.0 and 19,036 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.

#### Iowa

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 165.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.8 to 167.5 and 6,479 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.8.

#### Georgia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 165.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 164.4 to 166.7 and 16,650 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 164.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 159.9 to 169.9 and 977 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.1.

#### Vermont

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 164.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 160.8 to 168.9 and 1,355 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -1.1.

#### Rhode Island

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 164.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 161.6 to 167.9 and 2,223 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

#### Kansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 164.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.3 to 166.2 and 5,497 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.9.

#### Oregon

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 162.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 161.2 to 164.4 and 7,933 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.4.

#### Wisconsin

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 162.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 161.4 to 164.1 and 11,398 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -1.0.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 162.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 160.2 to 164.4 and 4,934 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.6.

#### New Hampshire

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 162.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 159.3 to 164.9 and 2,718 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.

#### Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 160.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 159.7 to 162.0 and 14,686 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.7.

#### South Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 160.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 156.9 to 164.1 and 1,648 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.7.

#### Maryland

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 160.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 158.9 to 161.7 and 10,674 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.8.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 159.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 156.9 to 161.7 and 3,478 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.9.

#### Washington

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 157.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 155.8 to 158.4 and 12,273 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.4.

#### Massachusetts

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 155.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 154.6 to 157.1 and 12,795 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.9.

#### Montana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 155.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 151.9 to 158.1 and 2,036 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.4.

#### Idaho

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 154.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 152.2 to 157.5 and 2,761 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.8.

#### Texas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 154.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.3 to 154.7 and 38,943 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.7.

#### New Jersey

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 153.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 152.4 to 154.6 and 16,407 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -2.0.

#### Minnesota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 153.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 152.1 to 154.8 and 9,691 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.2.

#### Florida

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 152.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 151.9 to 153.2 and 43,285 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.

#### New York

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 151.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 150.2 to 151.7 and 35,491 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.6.

#### North Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 149.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 146.1 to 153.6 and 1,283 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.1.

#### Connecticut

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 145.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 144.2 to 147.4 and 6,657 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.7.

#### California

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 145.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 144.7 to 145.8 and 58,588 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.

#### Wyoming

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 144.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 140.5 to 149.0 and 943 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.5.

#### Arizona

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 144.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 142.9 to 145.3 and 11,508 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.1.

#### New Mexico

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 144.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 141.8 to 146.2 and 3,514 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.1.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 138.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 137.4 to 140.3 and 7,520 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.4.

#### Hawaii (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 133.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 130.7 to 135.6 and 2,394 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -1.0.

#### Utah

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 127.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.0 to 129.1 and 3,021 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.9.

#### Puerto Rico (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 116.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 114.6 to 117.5 and 5,259 average annual deaths over 2012-2016.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.0 to -1.1.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 09/17/2019 12:50 am.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
The 1969-2016 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Healthy People 2020 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Health Service Areas are a single county or cluster of contiguous counties which are relatively self-contained with respect to hospital care. For more detailed information, please see Health Service Area information page.
8 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.