Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report by StateAll Cancer Sites, 2016-2020All Races (includes Hispanic), Male, All AgesSorted by CI*Rank

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 122.7 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 177.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 177.2 to 177.8 and 315,770 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -2.0.

#### Puerto Rico (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 132.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 129.9 to 134.3 and 2,829 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.7 to 0.5.

#### Utah

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 140.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 137.5 to 143.6 and 1,751 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 51 (51, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.7.

#### Hawaii (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 151.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 147.8 to 155.2 and 1,342 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 50 (47, 50)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.3.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 152.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 150.6 to 154.9 and 4,192 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 49 (47, 50)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.6.

#### Arizona

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 154.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.2 to 156.5 and 6,655 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 48 (47, 50)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.6.

#### California

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 158.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 157.5 to 159.1 and 30,954 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 47 (44, 47)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.6.

#### New Mexico

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 159.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 155.9 to 162.4 and 1,946 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 46 (42, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.

#### Wyoming

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 159.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.6 to 166.2 and 542 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 45 (38, 50)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.6.

#### New York

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 159.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 158.7 to 160.9 and 17,133 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 44 (43, 47)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -2.6.

#### Connecticut

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 162.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 159.7 to 164.7 and 3,365 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 43 (40, 46)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -2.0.

#### New Jersey

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 162.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 161.1 to 164.4 and 7,886 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 42 (40, 45)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -2.3.

#### Florida

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 166.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 165.5 to 167.4 and 24,361 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 41 (37, 42)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -2.1.

#### North Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 167.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.1 to 173.6 and 695 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 40 (28, 45)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

#### Montana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 167.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.5 to 172.5 and 1,136 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 39 (29, 43)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.7.

#### Idaho

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 169.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 165.9 to 173.5 and 1,608 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 38 (29, 41)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.1.

#### Minnesota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 169.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 167.8 to 172.0 and 5,236 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 37 (32, 40)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.6.

#### Washington

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 170.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 168.1 to 171.8 and 6,710 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 36 (32, 40)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.8.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 170.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.3 to 177.4 and 549 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 35 (24, 44)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.4.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 171.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 168.2 to 174.0 and 2,849 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 34 (29, 40)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.8.

#### District of Columbia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 171.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 164.7 to 178.6 and 494 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 33 (23, 43)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -2.7.

#### Massachusetts

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 172.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 170.6 to 174.5 and 6,503 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 32 (28, 38)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -2.1.

#### Texas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 173.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 172.8 to 174.9 and 22,032 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 31 (28, 34)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.9.

#### Oregon

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 174.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 171.6 to 176.4 and 4,271 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 30 (27, 36)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.6.

#### Maryland

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 175.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 173.2 to 177.5 and 5,491 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 29 (26, 34)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -2.1.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 175.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 172.0 to 179.3 and 1,825 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 28 (24, 36)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.4.

#### New Hampshire

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 178.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 174.3 to 182.7 and 1,493 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 27 (20, 33)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.7.

#### Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 179.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 178.0 to 181.7 and 7,995 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 26 (22, 28)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -2.0.

#### South Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 181.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 176.0 to 186.9 and 908 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 25 (15, 31)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.1.

#### Wisconsin

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 181.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 179.4 to 183.6 and 6,117 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 24 (20, 27)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.5.

#### Rhode Island

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 182.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 177.7 to 187.6 and 1,104 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 23 (15, 29)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.7.

#### Illinois

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 183.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 181.9 to 184.8 and 12,356 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 22 (19, 25)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.8.

#### Kansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 183.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 180.6 to 186.7 and 2,926 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (16, 27)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.2.

#### Vermont

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 185.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 178.9 to 191.3 and 742 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (13, 28)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

#### Iowa

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 185.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 182.5 to 188.1 and 3,407 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (15, 25)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.2.

#### Georgia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 186.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 184.9 to 188.5 and 9,249 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (14, 22)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.9.

#### North Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 187.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 185.9 to 189.2 and 10,427 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (14, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -2.0.

#### Pennsylvania

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 187.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 186.3 to 189.1 and 14,598 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (14, 20)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.7.

#### Michigan

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 189.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 187.8 to 191.1 and 10,954 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (14, 18)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.5.

#### Delaware

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 190.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 185.3 to 195.6 and 1,126 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (11, 22)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.8.

#### South Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 193.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 191.4 to 196.1 and 5,686 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (11, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -2.0.

#### Missouri

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 195.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 193.6 to 197.9 and 6,848 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (11, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.5.

#### Maine

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 196.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 192.2 to 200.6 and 1,796 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (9, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.

#### Ohio

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 199.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 198.0 to 201.1 and 13,332 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (9, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.6.

#### Indiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 201.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 199.2 to 203.5 and 7,168 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (8, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.6.

#### Louisiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 205.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 203.0 to 208.3 and 5,042 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (4, 9)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -2.0.

#### Arkansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 206.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 203.4 to 209.6 and 3,563 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (3, 9)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -1.9.

#### Alabama

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 207.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 205.0 to 209.9 and 5,695 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (3, 8)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.9.

#### Tennessee

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 207.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 205.6 to 209.8 and 7,739 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (3, 8)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.9.

#### Oklahoma

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 209.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 206.4 to 212.0 and 4,451 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (3, 8)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.1.

#### West Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 211.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 207.5 to 215.1 and 2,529 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (3, 7)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.

#### Kentucky

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 220.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 217.6 to 223.0 and 5,419 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 2)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -1.4.

#### Mississippi

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 225.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 222.5 to 229.3 and 3,575 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 2)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 02/08/2023 3:58 pm.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
‡ The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.

Healthy People 2030 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

8 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.