  Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report by StateAll Cancer Sites, 2016-2020All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, Ages 65+Sorted by Rate

Objective - The objective of 122.7 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 855.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 854.2 to 856.5 and 431,628 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.7.

#### Kentucky

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 1,009.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 998.8 to 1,020.2 and 7,010 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 1)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to -1.5.

#### Mississippi

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 976.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 963.5 to 989.5 and 4,422 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (2, 4)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.9.

#### Oklahoma

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 967.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 956.5 to 979.0 and 5,789 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (2, 5)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.8.

#### West Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 957.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 942.5 to 972.1 and 3,292 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (2, 8)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.3.

#### Indiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 948.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 939.6 to 956.8 and 9,571 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (3, 9)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.2.

#### Maine

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 946.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 929.6 to 963.3 and 2,484 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (3, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.3.

#### Tennessee

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 938.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 929.9 to 946.6 and 9,907 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (4, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

#### Ohio

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 937.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 931.1 to 943.4 and 18,047 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (5, 10)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

#### Arkansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 934.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 922.1 to 946.4 and 4,610 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (5, 13)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.4.

#### Missouri

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 921.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 913.1 to 930.1 and 9,237 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (8, 16)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.3.

#### Louisiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 921.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 911.3 to 931.9 and 6,323 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (8, 17)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.6.

#### Michigan

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 918.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 911.9 to 925.1 and 15,085 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (9, 17)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.2.

#### Alabama

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 913.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 904.3 to 923.3 and 7,235 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (10, 20)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.5.

#### Pennsylvania

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 910.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 905.0 to 916.1 and 20,951 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (11, 19)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.3.

#### Vermont

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 908.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 883.1 to 933.6 and 1,031 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (5, 29)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.9.

#### Delaware

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 907.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 887.6 to 928.6 and 1,554 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (7, 27)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.

#### South Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 907.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 884.8 to 930.1 and 1,284 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (6, 29)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.6.

#### Wisconsin

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 902.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 893.4 to 910.7 and 8,539 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (13, 23)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.3.

#### Illinois

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 901.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 895.1 to 907.2 and 17,419 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (14, 23)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.7.

#### Iowa

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 894.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 883.5 to 906.5 and 4,773 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (14, 26)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.9.

#### Rhode Island

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 893.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 873.3 to 913.2 and 1,610 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (10, 32)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.

#### New Hampshire

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 889.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 872.5 to 907.5 and 2,058 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 22 (13, 32)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.5.

#### Kansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 887.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 874.8 to 899.7 and 4,004 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 23 (16, 30)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.0.

#### Oregon

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 884.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 874.0 to 894.2 and 6,087 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 24 (18, 30)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 881.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 869.3 to 894.7 and 3,861 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 25 (18, 33)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.7.

#### North Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 875.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 869.3 to 882.4 and 13,995 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 26 (22, 31)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.4.

#### South Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 875.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 866.2 to 884.4 and 7,358 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 27 (21, 34)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.

#### Idaho

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 873.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 857.0 to 889.8 and 2,240 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 28 (19, 37)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.7 to 0.7.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 872.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 857.4 to 888.0 and 2,585 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 29 (20, 37)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.0.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 866.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 835.1 to 897.8 and 652 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 30 (14, 41)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.6 to -1.8.

#### Georgia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 865.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 858.1 to 872.3 and 11,822 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 31 (27, 37)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

#### Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 865.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 857.6 to 872.4 and 10,796 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 32 (26, 37)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.6.

#### Washington

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 863.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 855.5 to 871.4 and 9,360 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 33 (27, 37)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.5.

#### Massachusetts

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 859.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 851.2 to 866.9 and 9,529 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 34 (29, 38)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.8.

#### Minnesota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 856.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 848.0 to 865.7 and 7,397 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 35 (29, 38)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.2.

#### Maryland

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 854.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 845.5 to 862.8 and 7,642 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 36 (30, 38)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.8.

#### Montana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 854.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 835.1 to 873.4 and 1,583 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 37 (24, 40)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.5.

#### North Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 840.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 816.9 to 865.2 and 979 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 38 (26, 43)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.0.

#### New Jersey

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 830.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 823.7 to 837.3 and 11,787 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 39 (37, 41)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.9.

#### Texas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 821.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 816.7 to 825.5 and 27,861 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 40 (39, 42)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.6.

#### District of Columbia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 819.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 792.1 to 847.7 and 693 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 41 (33, 46)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -2.1.

#### Connecticut

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 809.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 799.5 to 820.0 and 4,952 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 42 (39, 43)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.8.

#### Wyoming

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 802.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 776.1 to 829.7 and 718 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 43 (38, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.5.

#### California

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 791.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 787.9 to 794.6 and 43,260 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 44 (42, 46)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.4.

#### New York

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 786.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 782.0 to 790.8 and 24,974 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 45 (43, 47)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -2.5.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 781.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 772.6 to 790.9 and 5,798 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 46 (43, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

#### Florida

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 776.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 773.1 to 780.5 and 33,515 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 47 (45, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.8.

#### New Mexico

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 769.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 756.1 to 782.6 and 2,664 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 48 (44, 49)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.2.

#### Arizona

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 753.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 746.2 to 760.1 and 9,132 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 49 (48, 49)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.5.

#### Utah

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 711.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 698.5 to 724.7 and 2,320 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 50 (50, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.7.

#### Hawaii (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 706.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 691.7 to 721.4 and 1,831 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 51 (50, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.9.

#### Puerto Rico (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 572.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 564.0 to 580.3 and 3,824 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.5 to -0.4.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/08/2023 3:40 pm.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
‡ The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.

Healthy People 2030 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

8 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.