State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Death Rates Data

Death Rate Report by State

Esophagus, 2015-2019

All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All Ages

Sorted by CI*Rank

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 0.0 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 3.9 and 15,474 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -1.0.

Puerto Rico (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.9 to 2.3 and 103 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.2 to 0.0.

Utah

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.5 to 3.0 and 74 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 51 (47, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 1.5.

Hawaii (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.4 to 3.1 and 53 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 50 (46, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.0.

District of Columbia

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.4 to 3.6 and 20 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 49 (31, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.5 to -4.2.

California

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.0 to 3.1 and 1,347 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 48 (46, 50)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.3.

Texas

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 3.3 and 920 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 47 (43, 49)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.8.

New Mexico

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.0 to 3.6 and 89 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 46 (35, 50)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 0.6.

New York

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.5 and 851 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 45 (39, 47)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.8.

North Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.6 and 438 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 44 (37, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.5.

New Jersey

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.6 and 387 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 43 (37, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.9.

Georgia

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.6 and 396 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 42 (36, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.3.

Mississippi

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.9 and 132 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 41 (27, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to 0.0.

Arizona

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.4 to 3.8 and 323 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 40 (31, 46)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -0.7.

Florida

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.5 to 3.7 and 1,123 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 39 (34, 44)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.2.

Colorado

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.4 to 3.9 and 225 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 38 (28, 46)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -6.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -12.4 to 1.0.

Maryland

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.5 to 3.9 and 269 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 37 (27, 45)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.3.

Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.6 to 4.0 and 386 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 36 (26, 42)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.7.

Connecticut

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.5 to 4.1 and 183 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 35 (22, 44)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.4.

Alabama

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.6 to 4.0 and 241 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 34 (23, 41)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 0.2.

South Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.6 to 4.0 and 255 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 33 (23, 41)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.2.

Louisiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.6 to 4.1 and 215 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 32 (22, 42)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.5.

Delaware

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.4 to 4.4 and 50 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 31 (10, 47)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -0.7.

Wyoming

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 4.7 and 28 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 30 (6, 49)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 1.0.

Arkansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.6 to 4.2 and 152 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 29 (19, 42)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 1.3.

Illinois

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 4.2 and 628 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 28 (21, 35)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.8.

Oklahoma

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 4.3 and 192 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 27 (16, 38)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to 0.3.

Nevada

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 4.4 and 147 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 26 (13, 38)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.5.

Tennessee

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 4.3 and 347 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 25 (18, 35)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 0.5.

Rhode Island

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.7 to 4.7 and 58 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 24 (7, 44)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.2.

Minnesota

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 4.4 and 288 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 23 (13, 33)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 0.2.

Washington

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 4.5 and 376 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 22 (12, 28)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -0.5.

Kansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 4.6 and 154 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (8, 32)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.6 to 1.4.

Oregon

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 4.6 and 236 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (8, 29)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.4.

Massachusetts

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.6 and 386 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (9, 27)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.1.

Kentucky

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.7 and 250 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (7, 27)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.1 to 0.7.

Missouri

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 4.7 and 352 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (8, 25)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 0.8.

Pennsylvania

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 4.6 and 797 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (9, 22)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.7.

Montana

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 5.1 and 64 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (3, 36)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 1.2.

Iowa

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.8 and 184 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (5, 27)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.6.

South Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 5.2 and 51 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (2, 35)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 1.8.

North Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 5.3 and 41 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (1, 38)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.6 to 2.1.

Nebraska

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 5.0 and 106 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (3, 27)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.1.

Wisconsin

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.4 to 4.9 and 348 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (5, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.2.

Idaho

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 5.2 and 95 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (2, 27)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.6.

Michigan

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 4.9 and 620 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (5, 16)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.3.

Indiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.7 to 5.1 and 397 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (3, 15)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 0.8.

Vermont

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 5.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 5.7 and 45 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (1, 29)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 1.1.

Ohio

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 5.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.9 to 5.2 and 765 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (2, 10)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.3.

West Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.9 to 5.7 and 140 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (1, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.9 to 1.7.

New Hampshire

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.9 to 5.8 and 99 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (1, 13)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.6.

Alaska

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 5.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 6.4 and 37 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 23)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 1.2.

Maine

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 5.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.1 to 6.1 and 113 average annual deaths over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 9)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 1.2.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/05/2022 9:30 am.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
† Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.



Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.
CI*Rank data for Puerto Rico is not available.