Interpretation of Death Rates Data
Death Rate Report by State
Esophagus, 2018-2022
All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All Ages
Sorted by Ruralurban
Explanation of Column HeadersObjective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.7 to 3.8 and 15,762 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.8.
District of Columbia
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.4 to 3.7 and 20 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 48 (26, 51)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.4 to -3.9.
Puerto Rico (8)
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.7 to 2.0 and 96 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : N/A
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -5.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.2 to 0.5.
Alabama
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.7 and 235 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 37 (31, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.5 to -0.4.
Alaska
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.7 to 5.1 and 32 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 16 (2, 43)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.8.
Arizona
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.7 and 336 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 38 (31, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -1.0.
Arkansas
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 4.4 and 165 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 21 (8, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 1.4.
California
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.9 to 3.0 and 1,354 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 49 (46, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.3.
Colorado
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 3.5 and 219 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 45 (35, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.8 to -1.8.
Connecticut
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.4 to 3.9 and 181 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 33 (26, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.5.
Delaware
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.2 to 4.1 and 52 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 35 (17, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -0.8.
Florida
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.5 and 1,142 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 40 (35, 45)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.4.
Georgia
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 3.6 and 421 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 41 (33, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.1.
Hawaii (8)
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.3 to 2.9 and 53 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 51 (47, 51)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.1.
Idaho
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.7 to 4.5 and 92 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 24 (7, 38)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -7.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -12.7 to -0.6.
Illinois
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 4.2 and 651 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 28 (18, 32)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.7.
Indiana
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 5.0 and 408 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 4 (2, 13)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to 0.4.
Iowa
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.8 and 190 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 12 (4, 27)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to 0.4.
Kansas
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 4.6 and 159 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 19 (5, 31)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 1.3.
Kentucky
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.7 and 256 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 13 (4, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to 0.4.
Louisiana
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.4 to 3.9 and 210 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 34 (26, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.4 to -1.0.
Maine
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 5.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.3 to 6.2 and 124 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 1 (1, 4)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 1.2.
Maryland
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.2 to 3.6 and 262 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 43 (33, 47)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.5.
Massachusetts
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 4.2 and 374 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 25 (16, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.5.
Michigan
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.4 to 4.8 and 634 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 8 (3, 17)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.1.
Minnesota
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 4.3 and 295 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 23 (13, 32)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.1.
Mississippi
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.6 to 4.1 and 147 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 31 (17, 40)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.3.
Missouri
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 4.5 and 354 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 18 (7, 27)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 0.8.
Montana
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.7 to 4.6 and 63 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 22 (4, 40)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.7 to 0.4.
Nebraska
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 4.9 and 109 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 9 (3, 29)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.1 to 1.0.
Nevada
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 4.3 and 157 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 26 (11, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.4 to -0.5.
New Hampshire
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 5.2 and 96 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 7 (2, 25)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.9 to -0.5.
New Jersey
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.9 to 3.2 and 366 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 47 (45, 50)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.2 to -1.9.
New Mexico
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.1 to 3.8 and 98 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 39 (28, 48)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.6.
New York
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.0 to 3.2 and 818 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 46 (44, 49)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -2.1.
North Carolina
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.2 to 3.5 and 460 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 42 (34, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.5.
North Dakota
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.7 to 4.9 and 41 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 20 (3, 41)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 1.9.
Ohio
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.6 to 4.9 and 753 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 5 (3, 11)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.1.
Oklahoma
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 4.7 and 215 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 15 (5, 27)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.4 to 0.7.
Oregon
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.7 and 252 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 14 (4, 26)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.3.
Pennsylvania
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 4.5 and 804 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 17 (8, 23)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.8.
Rhode Island
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.4 to 4.3 and 57 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 32 (10, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.5 to -1.3.
South Carolina
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.7 to 4.2 and 278 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 30 (18, 35)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.6.
South Dakota
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 5.1 and 52 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 11 (2, 34)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 1.6.
Tennessee
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 4.2 and 363 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 27 (17, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.8 to 0.1.
Texas
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.2 to 3.4 and 994 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 44 (39, 46)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.7.
Utah
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.4 to 2.9 and 79 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 50 (47, 51)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.3 to 0.0.
Vermont
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 5.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 5.7 and 48 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 3 (1, 28)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 1.0.
Virginia
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.4 to 3.7 and 381 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 36 (30, 44)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.8.
Washington
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 4.2 and 377 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 29 (17, 33)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -0.8.
West Virginia
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 5.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.0 to 5.8 and 145 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 2 (1, 5)
- Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.9 to 1.8.
Wisconsin
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 4.7 and 356 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 10 (4, 22)
- Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.4.
Wyoming
- Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
- Rate : The death rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 5.5 and 36 average annual deaths over 2018-2022.
- CI*Rank ⋔ : 6 (1, 34)
- Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to 1.1.
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 12/14/2024 3:31 pm.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
† Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
‡ The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.
*** No Healthy People 2030 Objective for this cancer.
Healthy People 2030 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
8 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.