  Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report by StateAll Cancer Sites, 2011-2015All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Rate

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 161.4 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

• Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 163.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.3 to 163.7 and 586,354 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.5.

#### Kentucky

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 199.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 197.6 to 201.1 and 10,080 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.9.

#### Mississippi

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 194.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 192.7 to 197.0 and 6,464 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.9.

#### West Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 193.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 190.6 to 195.6 and 4,781 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.9.

#### Louisiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 187.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 186.0 to 189.5 and 9,362 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

#### Arkansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 187.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 185.5 to 189.6 and 6,600 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.8.

#### Oklahoma

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 186.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 184.1 to 187.8 and 8,058 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.7.

#### Tennessee

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 185.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 184.0 to 186.8 and 13,933 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.2.

#### Alabama

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 181.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 179.8 to 182.9 and 10,295 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.5.

#### Indiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 181.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 179.6 to 182.4 and 13,367 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.2.

#### Ohio

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 179.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 178.3 to 180.3 and 25,243 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -1.1.

#### Missouri

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 178.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 176.7 to 179.5 and 12,876 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.1.

#### District of Columbia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 176.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 172.1 to 181.7 and 1,087 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.8.

#### Maine

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 176.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 173.6 to 179.2 and 3,252 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.1.

#### South Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 174.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 173.0 to 176.1 and 9,779 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.3.

#### Michigan

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 172.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 171.7 to 173.8 and 20,637 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -1.0.

#### Illinois

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 171.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 170.8 to 172.8 and 24,455 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.2.

#### Pennsylvania

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 171.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 170.7 to 172.5 and 28,739 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.4.

#### Delaware

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 171.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 167.7 to 174.6 and 1,945 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.5.

#### North Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 169.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 168.2 to 170.4 and 18,788 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 168.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.3 to 173.6 and 965 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.0.

#### Iowa

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 167.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 165.9 to 169.7 and 6,489 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.8.

#### Georgia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 167.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 166.5 to 168.8 and 16,334 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.4.

#### Vermont

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 167.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.5 to 171.7 and 1,354 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.1.

#### Rhode Island

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 166.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.6 to 170.0 and 2,222 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.4.

#### Kansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 166.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 164.3 to 168.3 and 5,488 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.9.

#### Wisconsin

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 165.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.8 to 166.6 and 11,420 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -0.9.

#### New Hampshire

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 164.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.1 to 167.8 and 2,691 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.

#### Oregon

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 164.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.1 to 166.4 and 7,878 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.4.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 164.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.0 to 166.2 and 4,812 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.6.

#### Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 163.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.5 to 165.0 and 14,556 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.6.

#### Maryland

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 162.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 160.9 to 163.7 and 10,541 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.8.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 161.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 158.8 to 163.7 and 3,464 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.9.

#### South Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 160.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 156.7 to 163.9 and 1,642 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.8.

#### Massachusetts

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 159.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 158.3 to 160.8 and 12,831 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.8.

#### Washington

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 159.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 158.0 to 160.6 and 12,155 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.4.

#### New Jersey

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 157.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 156.6 to 158.8 and 16,473 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.9.

#### Montana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 157.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 154.2 to 160.4 and 2,034 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 1.8.

#### Texas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 156.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 155.7 to 157.1 and 38,374 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.5.

#### Minnesota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 155.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.9 to 156.8 and 9,618 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to 0.2.

#### Idaho

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 155.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 152.4 to 157.7 and 2,699 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.8.

#### New York

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 155.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 154.2 to 155.7 and 35,512 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.

#### Florida

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 154.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 154.2 to 155.5 and 42,768 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.

#### North Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 153.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 149.3 to 157.0 and 1,297 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.1.

#### Connecticut

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 150.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 148.5 to 151.8 and 6,685 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.8.

#### Wyoming

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 147.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 143.3 to 152.0 and 938 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.4.

#### California

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 147.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 146.9 to 148.0 and 57,975 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.5.

#### Arizona

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 145.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 144.0 to 146.4 and 11,271 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.3.

#### New Mexico

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 145.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 142.8 to 147.2 and 3,468 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.1.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 139.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 138.1 to 141.1 and 7,345 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.5.

#### Hawaii (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 136.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 133.6 to 138.6 and 2,370 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -1.0.

#### Utah

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 127.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.2 to 129.3 and 2,945 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.9.

#### Puerto Rico (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 118.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.5 to 120.4 and 5,287 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.7 to 0.0.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/21/2019 12:08 pm.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2015 US Population Data File is used for mortality data.
The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Healthy People 2020 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

8 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availablility, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.