  Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report by StateLung & Bronchus, 2015All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Rate

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 45.5 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 1 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

• Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 40.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.4 to 40.8 and 153,718 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.6 to -2.6.

#### Kentucky

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 64.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 62.1 to 66.5 and 3,461 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.1.

#### West Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 57.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 54.4 to 60.4 and 1,492 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.2.

#### Arkansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 57.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 54.7 to 59.6 and 2,124 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.2.

#### Mississippi

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 54.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 52.2 to 57.2 and 1,910 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.6.

#### Tennessee

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 54.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 52.6 to 55.9 and 4,355 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -2.0.

#### Oklahoma

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 54.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 51.8 to 56.2 and 2,459 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.2.

#### Missouri

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 51.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 49.5 to 52.8 and 3,870 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.4.

#### Louisiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 50.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 48.5 to 52.5 and 2,654 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.9.

#### Maine

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 50.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 47.2 to 53.7 and 978 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.9.

#### Indiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 50.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 48.6 to 51.8 and 3,863 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.5.

#### Ohio

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 49.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 47.8 to 50.2 and 7,193 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.7.

#### Alabama

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 49.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 47.2 to 50.8 and 2,980 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -2.3.

#### Rhode Island

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 46.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 43.2 to 50.7 and 640 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.2.

#### Delaware

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 46.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 42.7 to 50.6 and 561 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.3.

#### Michigan

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 45.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 44.7 to 47.2 and 5,723 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -1.9.

#### North Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 45.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 44.4 to 46.9 and 5,470 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -2.1.

#### Iowa

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 45.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 43.0 to 47.3 and 1,790 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.1.

#### South Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 45.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 43.3 to 46.8 and 2,775 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -2.2.

#### Kansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 44.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 42.1 to 46.7 and 1,512 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.5.

#### New Hampshire

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 43.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.3 to 46.8 and 758 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.0.

#### Illinois

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 43.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 42.4 to 44.5 and 6,406 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.9.

#### Pennsylvania

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 43.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 42.1 to 44.1 and 7,408 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.9.

#### Alaska

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 42.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.1 to 48.5 and 259 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.2.

#### Georgia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 42.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.9 to 43.5 and 4,448 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -2.5.

#### Nevada

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 41.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 39.4 to 44.1 and 1,336 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -2.4.

#### Vermont

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 41.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.2 to 46.2 and 352 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.7.

#### Nebraska

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 41.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.7 to 44.2 and 913 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.0.

#### Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 41.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 39.9 to 42.6 and 3,900 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -2.8.

#### South Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 40.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 36.5 to 44.4 and 427 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -0.8.

#### Florida

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 40.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 39.3 to 40.8 and 11,931 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -2.4.

#### Wisconsin

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 39.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.4 to 41.4 and 2,869 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.3.

#### Montana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 39.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.9 to 42.8 and 539 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -1.7.

#### Massachusetts

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 39.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.7 to 40.5 and 3,238 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -2.7.

#### Oregon

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 38.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 36.9 to 40.4 and 1,958 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -2.6.

#### Washington

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 38.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.2 to 40.0 and 3,116 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.8 to -2.9.

#### Maryland

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 37.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 36.3 to 39.3 and 2,579 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -2.9.

#### Minnesota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 37.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.5 to 38.6 and 2,398 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.7.

#### New York

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 36.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.4 to 36.9 and 8,551 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -2.6.

#### Texas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 35.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.3 to 35.8 and 9,155 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.9 to -2.7.

#### New Jersey

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 35.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.8 to 36.1 and 3,779 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -2.6.

#### Connecticut

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 34.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.0 to 36.6 and 1,568 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -2.3.

#### Arizona

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 34.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.3 to 35.8 and 2,932 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -2.4.

#### North Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 34.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.5 to 38.7 and 291 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.4.

#### Idaho

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 34.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.7 to 37.2 and 649 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -1.7.

#### Wyoming

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 32.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.9 to 36.9 and 213 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -2.1.

#### District of Columbia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 31.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.6 to 36.7 and 204 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -2.2.

#### Hawaii (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 31.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.3 to 34.6 and 589 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -1.7.

#### California

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 30.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.5 to 30.6 and 12,381 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.2 to -3.5.

#### New Mexico

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 29.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.4 to 31.7 and 744 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.2.

#### Colorado

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 27.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.3 to 29.2 and 1,546 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.4 to -3.3.

#### Utah

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.4 to 20.9 and 471 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -1.6.

#### Puerto Rico (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 12.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.4 to 13.5 and 590 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.2 to 2.4.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/23/2019 10:47 am.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2015 US Population Data File is used for mortality data.
The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Healthy People 2020 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

8 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availablility, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.