Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report by StateMelanoma of the Skin, 2015All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Recentaapc

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 2.4 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 1 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

• Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.4 to 2.5 and 8,885 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -0.2.

#### Maryland

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.5 to 2.2 and 121 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -9.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -19.2 to 0.6.

#### New York

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.5 to 1.9 and 393 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -6.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.2 to -1.0.

#### Oregon

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.3 to 3.3 and 135 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -5.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.4 to 0.0.

#### Texas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.8 to 2.1 and 504 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.7 to -1.1.

#### Delaware

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 4.4 and 37 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.2.

#### New Jersey

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.9 to 2.4 and 227 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.7.

#### California

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.1 to 2.4 and 941 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.7.

#### Connecticut

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.6 to 2.5 and 90 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.1.

#### Massachusetts

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 2.7 and 194 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.2.

#### Nevada

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 3.4 and 86 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 0.2.

#### South Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.5 to 3.6 and 24 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 0.7.

#### Georgia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 2.6 and 231 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.1.

#### North Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 2.8 and 288 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 0.0.

#### Oklahoma

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.3 to 3.3 and 121 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.2.

#### Wyoming

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.6 to 4.3 and 18 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 0.8.

#### Louisiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.4 to 2.2 and 92 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to 0.2.

#### New Mexico

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.3 to 3.7 and 73 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 0.7.

#### Rhode Island

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.5 to 3.2 and 31 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 1.0.

#### Florida

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.5 to 2.9 and 752 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.2.

#### New Hampshire

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 4.0 and 48 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 0.8.

#### Arizona

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 3.0 and 208 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.4.

#### Hawaii (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.1 to 2.3 and 33 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 1.3.

#### Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 2.9 and 233 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 0.4.

#### Washington

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.5 to 3.3 and 230 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 0.5.

#### Alabama

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.1 to 3.0 and 143 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.8.

#### Arkansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 3.1 and 92 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.6.

#### Pennsylvania

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 2.8 and 410 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.4.

#### South Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.9 to 2.7 and 134 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.7.

#### Colorado

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.6 to 3.6 and 175 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 0.9.

#### Illinois

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.9 to 2.4 and 312 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.6.

#### Kansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.5 to 3.8 and 105 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.7.

#### Minnesota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.1 to 2.9 and 153 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.6.

#### Missouri

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.4 to 3.2 and 203 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.7.

#### Montana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.3 to 3.1 and 25 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 1.1.

#### Tennessee

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.7 to 3.5 and 245 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.6.

#### Utah

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.3 to 3.8 and 73 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.9.

#### Indiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.3 to 3.1 and 202 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 1.0.

#### Mississippi

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.1 to 3.3 and 85 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 1.1.

#### North Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.4 to 3.7 and 20 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to 1.6.

#### Wisconsin

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.4 to 3.2 and 195 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.8.

#### Maine

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.7 to 3.3 and 43 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 1.1.

#### Iowa

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 3.0 and 93 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 1.2.

#### Michigan

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 2.7 and 293 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 0.9.

#### Ohio

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.3 to 2.8 and 357 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.0.

#### West Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.6 to 4.2 and 78 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 1.2.

#### Idaho

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.7 to 4.5 and 67 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 1.2.

#### Kentucky

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.7 to 3.7 and 160 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.3.

#### Nebraska

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 3.8 and 65 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.1 to 1.6.

#### Puerto Rico (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 0.6 and 19 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 5.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -32.0 to 62.0.

#### Alaska

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.7 to 5.1 and 17 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

#### Vermont

• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.9 to 4.4 and 27 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
District of Columbia
• Met Healthy People Objective of 2.4? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/18/2019 6:39 pm.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2015 US Population Data File is used for mortality data.
The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Healthy People 2020 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

8 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availablility, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.