  Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report by StateBreast, 2015All Races (includes Hispanic), Female, All AgesSorted by Rate

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 20.7 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 1 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

• Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.1 to 20.5 and 41,523 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.3.

#### District of Columbia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 28.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.1 to 34.7 and 102 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.4.

#### Ohio

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 22.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.7 to 23.9 and 1,803 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.7.

#### Alabama

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 22.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.0 to 24.4 and 729 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.1.

#### Oklahoma

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 22.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.7 to 24.7 and 540 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.9.

#### Tennessee

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 22.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.6 to 23.6 and 941 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.4.

#### Idaho

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.9 to 25.2 and 208 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.2.

#### Mississippi

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.7 to 24.1 and 424 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.8.

#### Illinois

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.7 to 22.8 and 1,781 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 0.2.

#### Pennsylvania

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.8 to 22.7 and 2,036 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -2.1.

#### Louisiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.0 to 23.6 and 615 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.3.

#### Maryland

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.2 to 23.3 and 825 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.8.

#### North Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.5 to 22.8 and 1,397 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.5.

#### Montana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.0 to 25.5 and 146 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.5.

#### Missouri

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.0 to 22.9 and 867 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.3.

#### Nevada

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.2 to 23.8 and 358 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.1.

#### Georgia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.2 to 22.6 and 1,241 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.2.

#### Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.1 to 22.7 and 1,117 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.7.

#### West Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.6 to 23.9 and 279 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.1.

#### North Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.8 to 26.2 and 91 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.9.

#### Delaware

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.7 to 25.0 and 143 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -2.1.

#### Kentucky

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.4 to 22.9 and 593 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.5.

#### New Jersey

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.8 to 22.2 and 1,272 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -2.1.

#### Vermont

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.8 to 26.0 and 96 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -2.0.

#### Indiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.2 to 22.1 and 856 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.7.

#### Michigan

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.4 to 21.7 and 1,378 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.8.

#### South Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.8 to 22.1 and 654 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.4.

#### Wyoming

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.6 to 25.7 and 70 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.8.

#### Arkansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.1 to 22.3 and 394 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.9.

#### Maine

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.4 to 23.2 and 210 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -2.2.

#### Utah

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.7 to 22.7 and 268 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.9.

#### Oregon

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.3 to 21.8 and 550 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.7.

#### Washington

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.6 to 21.3 and 873 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.8.

#### Kansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.8 to 22.1 and 366 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.5.

#### Texas

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.0 to 20.4 and 2,857 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.7.

#### New Mexico

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.3 to 22.3 and 264 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.3.

#### California

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.0 to 20.2 and 4,472 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.2.

#### Minnesota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.8 to 20.8 and 680 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -2.2.

#### New York

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.4 to 20.0 and 2,524 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -2.3.

#### Arizona

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.7 to 20.4 and 823 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.6.

#### Hawaii (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.2 to 22.1 and 180 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.2 to 17.0.

#### Florida

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.3 to 19.7 and 2,856 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.1.

#### Colorado

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.4 to 20.6 and 582 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.7.

#### New Hampshire

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 18.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.0 to 22.0 and 173 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -2.4.

#### Wisconsin

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 18.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.3 to 20.1 and 717 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.7.

#### Nebraska

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 18.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.3 to 21.3 and 233 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.8.

#### South Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 18.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.0 to 22.8 and 104 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.3.

#### Iowa

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 18.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.6 to 20.5 and 388 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -2.0.

#### Alaska

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 17.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 13.3 to 23.3 and 60 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.6.

#### Massachusetts

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 17.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.4 to 18.9 and 818 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -2.9.

#### Puerto Rico (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 17.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.8 to 19.3 and 432 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.2 to 3.0.

#### Rhode Island

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 17.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 14.5 to 20.9 and 137 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -2.8.

#### Connecticut

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 17.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.6 to 19.0 and 432 average annual deaths over 2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -2.5.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/27/2019 9:16 am.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2015 US Population Data File is used for mortality data.
The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Healthy People 2020 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

8 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availablility, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.