Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report for Alaska by CountyAll Cancer Sites, 2016-2020All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Recentaapc

Objective - The objective of 122.7 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 146.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 142.4 to 151.2 and 988 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 33 (24, 42)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.6 to -1.5.

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 149.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 149.3 to 149.6 and 599,666 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.8.

#### Nome Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 246.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 187.3 to 315.8 and 15 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 8)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 1.8.

#### Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 216.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 164.6 to 279.3 and 13 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (1, 13)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 1.7.

#### Dillingham Census Area (3)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 201.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 140.2 to 279.0 and 8 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (1, 19)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 1.9.

#### Bethel Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 195.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.8 to 242.6 and 21 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (1, 15)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.5.

#### North Slope Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 221.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 160.7 to 294.2 and 12 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 15)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to 1.0.

#### Prince of Wales-Outer Ketchikan Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 180.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 136.1 to 234.1 and 13 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (1, 19)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to 1.2.

#### Wrangell-Petersburg Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 147.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 111.8 to 193.4 and 12 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (4, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 0.4.

#### Southeast Fairbanks Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 154.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 113.4 to 204.1 and 11 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (3, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to 0.2.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 187.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 129.9 to 260.5 and 8 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (1, 20)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to 0.5.

#### Matanuska-Susitna Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 159.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 147.1 to 171.8 and 152 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (5, 15)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.6.

#### Anchorage Municipality

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 146.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 139.2 to 153.2 and 376 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (8, 17)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.1.

#### Juneau City and Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 135.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.0 to 156.2 and 44 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (8, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.6.

#### Northwest Arctic Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 155.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 109.4 to 213.5 and 8 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (2, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to 0.0.

#### Fairbanks North Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 127.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 115.5 to 139.8 and 101 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (12, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.2.

#### Kenai Peninsula Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 151.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 138.6 to 165.9 and 110 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (6, 17)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.2.

#### Ketchikan Gateway Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 140.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 115.3 to 170.7 and 23 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (6, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -0.8.

#### Sitka City and Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 114.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 86.6 to 149.1 and 12 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (10, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -0.7.

#### Valdez-Cordova Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 133.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 99.4 to 175.3 and 13 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (5, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.6 to -1.2.

#### Kodiak Island Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 125.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 96.0 to 160.9 and 14 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (7, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to -1.2.

#### Aleutians West Census Area (3)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 114.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 49.6 to 214.1 and 4 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (2, 21)
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

#### Skagway-Hoonah-Angoon Census Area (3)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 137.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 93.4 to 199.1 and 7 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (4, 21)
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Aleutians East Borough (3)
• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• CI*Rank⋔ : *
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Bristol Bay Borough
• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• CI*Rank⋔ : *
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Denali Borough
• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• CI*Rank⋔ : *
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Haines Borough
• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• CI*Rank⋔ : *
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Lake and Peninsula Borough (3)
• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• CI*Rank⋔ : *
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Yakutat City and Borough (3)
• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• CI*Rank⋔ : *
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/12/2024 11:56 pm.

Alaska Census Area Name Change: please note that Wade Hampton Census Area, AK (FIPS code=02270) was renamed effective July 1, 2015, and the new name is Kusilvak Census Area (FIPS Code=02158). This website will use Kusilvak/Wade Hampton until the next incidence/mortality data release.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
‡ The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.

Healthy People 2030 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

3 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.

When displaying county information, the CI*Rank for the state is not shown because it's not comparable. To see the state CI*Rank please view the statistics at the US By State level.