Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report for by Borough or Census AreaAll Cancer Sites, 2011-2015All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Rate

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 161.4 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

• Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 168.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.3 to 173.6 and 965 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -1.0.

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 163.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.3 to 163.7 and 586,354 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.5.

#### Lake and Peninsula Borough (3)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 273.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 143.7 to 461.8 and 3 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

#### North Slope Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 264.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 190.9 to 354.1 and 13 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 2.5.

#### Nome Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 254.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 197.0 to 320.9 and 16 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 2.2.

#### Wade Hampton Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 250.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 173.6 to 346.4 and 9 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to 1.9.

#### Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 235.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 182.0 to 301.0 and 14 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 2.4.

#### Wrangell-Petersburg Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 222.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 173.6 to 281.1 and 15 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to 1.9.

#### Skagway-Hoonah-Angoon Census Area (3)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 210.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 144.7 to 296.4 and 8 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

#### Southeast Fairbanks Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 199.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 147.8 to 261.2 and 12 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to 1.2.

#### Prince of Wales-Outer Ketchikan Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 196.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 136.7 to 272.1 and 10 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to 2.1.

#### Valdez-Cordova Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 183.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 137.5 to 238.3 and 14 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.6 to -0.3.

#### Northwest Arctic Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 179.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 128.1 to 243.0 and 9 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to 0.7.

#### Juneau City and Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 179.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 155.5 to 205.7 and 48 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 0.1.

#### Matanuska-Susitna Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 175.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 161.5 to 191.0 and 136 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.2.

#### Haines Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 174.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 112.2 to 262.7 and 6 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

#### Bethel Census Area

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 172.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 134.3 to 216.0 and 17 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 1.1.

#### Ketchikan Gateway Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 171.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 139.2 to 208.8 and 22 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to 0.2.

#### Fairbanks North Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 164.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 149.8 to 181.0 and 106 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.5.

#### Dillingham Census Area (3)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 163.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 106.2 to 238.1 and 6 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to 3.2.

#### Sitka City and Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 163.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 128.2 to 205.1 and 16 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to 0.1.

#### Anchorage Municipality

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 159.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 151.8 to 167.7 and 362 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.9.

#### Kodiak Island Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 156.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 118.6 to 201.3 and 15 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -0.3.

#### Kenai Peninsula Borough

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 155.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 141.2 to 171.2 and 98 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.1.
Aleutians East Borough (3)
• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Aleutians West Census Area (3)
• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Bristol Bay Borough
• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Denali Borough
• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Yakutat City and Borough (3)
• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/20/2019 5:09 am.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2015 US Population Data File is used for mortality data.
The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Healthy People 2020 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

3 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availablility, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.