Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report for Arizona by CountyAll Cancer Sites, 2016-2020All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Recentaapc

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 122.7 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### Arizona

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 132.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 131.2 to 133.3 and 12,235 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.8.

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 149.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 149.3 to 149.6 and 599,666 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.8.

#### Apache County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 113.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 103.4 to 124.7 and 94 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (9, 15)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.3.

#### Yavapai County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 150.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 145.1 to 156.0 and 723 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (2, 5)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.7.

#### Mohave County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 177.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 171.4 to 183.8 and 761 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 1)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.8.

#### Yuma County (3)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 114.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 108.9 to 120.5 and 329 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (11, 15)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.7.

#### La Paz County (3)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 136.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 117.6 to 157.4 and 61 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (2, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 0.0.

#### Cochise County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 149.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 141.5 to 157.4 and 298 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (2, 5)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.9.

#### Gila County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 136.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 125.4 to 147.8 and 143 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (3, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.8.

#### Coconino County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 127.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 118.9 to 136.9 and 170 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (4, 13)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.0.

#### Graham County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 131.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 116.0 to 148.5 and 53 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (2, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.8.

#### Navajo County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 128.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 120.1 to 137.6 and 181 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (4, 12)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.0.

#### Pima County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 134.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 131.6 to 137.1 and 1,985 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (4, 9)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.3.

#### Greenlee County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 128.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 97.6 to 165.7 and 12 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (2, 15)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -0.5.

#### Santa Cruz County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 112.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 100.6 to 125.5 and 67 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (9, 15)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.1.

#### Pinal County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 117.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 113.5 to 121.4 and 736 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (10, 15)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.5.

#### Maricopa County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 130.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 128.7 to 131.5 and 6,622 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (6, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.9.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 11/28/2023 3:47 am.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
‡ The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.

3 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.

When displaying county information, the CI*Rank for the state is not shown because it's not comparable. To see the state CI*Rank please view the statistics at the US By State level.