Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report for Arizona by CountyAll Cancer Sites, 2016-2020Hispanic (any race), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Name

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 122.7 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### Arizona

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 114.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 112.0 to 117.3 and 1,581 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.2.

#### United States (6)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 108.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 107.8 to 108.7 and 41,779 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.0.

#### Apache County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 131.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 85.5 to 192.7 and 5 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 14)
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

#### Cochise County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 123.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 108.5 to 139.3 and 52 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (1, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.9.

#### Coconino County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 126.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 97.1 to 161.7 and 13 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to 0.3.

#### Gila County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 117.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 91.8 to 149.5 and 14 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (1, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -1.0.

#### Graham County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 126.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 97.0 to 161.7 and 13 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (1, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to 0.0.

#### Greenlee County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 86.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 50.0 to 138.8 and 4 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (2, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to 0.1.

#### Maricopa County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 114.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 110.9 to 118.6 and 807 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (4, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.2.

#### Mohave County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 112.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 96.3 to 130.3 and 37 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (2, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 0.7.

#### Navajo County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 117.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 88.2 to 152.2 and 12 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (1, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -0.8.

#### Pima County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 121.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 115.6 to 127.3 and 350 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (2, 9)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.8.

#### Pinal County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 101.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 91.6 to 111.8 and 86 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (8, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -1.4.

#### Santa Cruz County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 112.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 97.7 to 128.4 and 44 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (2, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.1.

#### Yavapai County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 124.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 106.3 to 145.7 and 34 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (1, 12)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.2.

#### Yuma County (3)

• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 104.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 95.7 to 113.9 and 107 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (7, 14)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.1.
La Paz County (3)
• Met Healthy People Objective of 122.7? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• CI*Rank⋔ : *
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/18/2024 7:12 pm.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
‡ The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.

Healthy People 2030 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

3 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

6 Hispanic mortality recent trend data for the United States has been excluded for the following states: Louisiana, New Hampshire, and Oklahoma. The data on Hispanic and non-Hispanic mortality for these states may be unreliable for the time period used in the generation of the recent trend (1990 - 2020) and has been excluded from the calculation of the United States recent trend. This was based on the NCHS Policy.
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.
NHIA (NAACCR Hispanic Identification Algorithm) was used for Hispanic Ethnicity (see Technical Notes section of the USCS).
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.

When displaying county information, the CI*Rank for the state is not shown because it's not comparable. To see the state CI*Rank please view the statistics at the US By State level.