Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report for California by CountyLung & Bronchus, 2011-2015All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Rate

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 45.5 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

• Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### California

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 32.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.9 to 32.4 and 12,474 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.2 to -3.5.

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 43.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 43.3 to 43.5 and 155,959 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.6 to -2.6.

#### Glenn County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 51.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.9 to 63.8 and 17 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -0.3.

#### Yuba County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 50.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 43.0 to 59.0 and 33 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -1.0.

#### Lake County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 50.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 44.0 to 57.2 and 50 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.1.

#### Del Norte County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 48.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.5 to 60.7 and 17 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to -1.6.

#### Shasta County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 46.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 42.4 to 50.1 and 119 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.1 to -1.2.

#### Tehama County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 45.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.9 to 52.2 and 38 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -1.2.

#### Sutter County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 44.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 39.2 to 51.0 and 47 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.3.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 43.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 36.9 to 52.0 and 30 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -1.2.

#### Trinity County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 43.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.4 to 59.4 and 10 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -0.2.

#### Butte County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 43.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 39.7 to 46.8 and 124 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.6.

#### Siskiyou County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 41.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.4 to 49.5 and 32 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -0.1.

#### San Joaquin County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 41.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 39.0 to 43.6 and 270 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -2.4.

#### Colusa County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 40.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.8 to 54.7 and 8 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to -0.3.

#### Solano County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 40.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.4 to 42.8 and 181 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.9.

#### Sacramento County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 39.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.2 to 41.1 and 586 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.6 to -2.1.

#### Stanislaus County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 39.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 36.9 to 41.9 and 197 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.7.

#### Kern County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 39.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.2 to 41.5 and 270 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.7.

#### Lassen County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 39.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.6 to 50.4 and 12 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to 0.0.

#### Mendocino County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 39.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.0 to 44.5 and 48 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -2.0.

#### Humboldt County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 38.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.1 to 43.2 and 62 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -1.5.

#### Merced County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 38.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.7 to 42.3 and 84 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.7.

#### Calaveras County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 38.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.3 to 45.5 and 31 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -0.9.

#### San Bernardino County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 36.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.2 to 37.8 and 624 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to -2.8.

#### Tulare County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 36.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.7 to 39.3 and 136 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.4.

#### Plumas County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 36.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.7 to 47.7 and 13 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to -0.6.

#### Mariposa County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 36.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.3 to 47.7 and 12 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to 0.0.

#### Napa County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 36.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.1 to 40.3 and 65 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -2.0.

#### Riverside County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 34.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.7 to 35.9 and 810 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -2.7.

#### Inyo County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 34.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.9 to 46.2 and 11 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -0.7.

#### Tuolumne County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 34.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.5 to 40.7 and 33 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -1.1.

#### Kings County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 34.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.8 to 39.9 and 38 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -0.8.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 34.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.3 to 38.9 and 52 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.1.

#### Fresno County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 33.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.0 to 35.6 and 287 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.6.

#### Contra Costa County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 33.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.2 to 35.2 and 405 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -2.3.

#### Sonoma County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 33.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.2 to 35.5 and 206 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.7 to -2.6.

#### El Dorado County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 33.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.9 to 36.6 and 82 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -2.5.

#### San Diego County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 32.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.0 to 33.8 and 1,060 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.6 to -2.8.

#### Yolo County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 32.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.0 to 36.6 and 61 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -2.2.

#### San Francisco County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 32.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.5 to 33.8 and 311 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -2.0.

#### San Luis Obispo County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 31.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.0 to 34.3 and 115 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.0 to -2.2.

#### Placer County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 31.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.3 to 33.8 and 153 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -3.5.

#### Alameda County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 31.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.8 to 32.4 and 487 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.5 to -3.2.

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 30.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.7 to 34.7 and 50 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to -2.3.

#### Orange County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 29.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.9 to 30.6 and 957 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -2.5.

#### Los Angeles County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 28.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.1 to 29.1 and 2,789 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.5 to -2.8.

#### Ventura County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 28.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.4 to 29.6 and 246 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -2.9.

#### Modoc County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 27.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.4 to 44.0 and 5 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.4 to 0.6.

#### Monterey County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 27.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.1 to 29.8 and 112 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -1.9.

#### San Mateo County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 27.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.8 to 29.0 and 239 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.7 to -3.2.

#### Santa Clara County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 27.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.2 to 28.4 and 498 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -2.1.

#### Santa Cruz County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 26.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.0 to 29.8 and 73 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -1.6.

#### San Benito County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 26.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.7 to 33.8 and 14 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -1.0.

#### Santa Barbara County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 26.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.4 to 28.6 and 128 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -2.1.

#### Marin County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 24.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.6 to 27.2 and 94 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -2.2.

#### Imperial County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 24.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.9 to 27.8 and 39 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.8 to -3.0.
Alpine County
• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Mono County
• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
Sierra County
• Met Healthy People Objective of 45.5? : ***
• Rate : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).
• Recent Trend : * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/17/2019 6:38 am.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2015 US Population Data File is used for mortality data.
The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Healthy People 2020 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate estimates. Counts are suppressed if fewer than 16 records were reported in a specific area-sex-race category. If an average count of 3 is shown, the total number of cases for the time period is 16 or more which exceeds suppression threshold (but is rounded to 3).

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availablility, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.