Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report for Maryland by CountyAll Cancer Sites, 2011-2015All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Rate

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 161.4 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

• Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### Maryland

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 162.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 160.9 to 163.7 and 10,541 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -1.8.

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 163.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.3 to 163.7 and 586,354 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -1.5.

#### Baltimore City

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 223.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 217.7 to 228.4 and 1,420 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.3.

#### Wicomico County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 201.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 189.4 to 213.4 and 227 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.5.

#### Somerset County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 200.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 178.0 to 224.5 and 61 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.2.

#### Dorchester County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 189.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 172.3 to 209.0 and 89 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.2.

#### Cecil County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 187.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 176.1 to 199.9 and 206 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -1.1.

#### St. Marys County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 183.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 171.8 to 195.7 and 194 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.6.

#### Caroline County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 180.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 162.1 to 201.2 and 71 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.9.

#### Worcester County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 179.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 167.0 to 193.2 and 162 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.9.

#### Charles County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 175.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 165.3 to 185.9 and 242 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -1.6.

#### Washington County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 172.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 163.7 to 180.9 and 318 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.8.

#### Anne Arundel County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 169.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 165.1 to 174.8 and 992 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.4.

#### Allegany County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 168.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 157.5 to 180.4 and 178 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.7.

#### Queen Annes County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 168.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.8 to 183.9 and 104 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.8.

#### Harford County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 167.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 160.8 to 174.7 and 471 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.2.

#### Calvert County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 165.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.5 to 177.7 and 156 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.2.

#### Prince Georges County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 165.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 160.9 to 169.1 and 1,332 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.9.

#### Baltimore County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 162.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 159.2 to 166.3 and 1,687 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.4.

#### Carroll County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 161.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 153.9 to 170.1 and 325 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.2.

#### Kent County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 153.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 134.1 to 174.5 and 52 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.1.

#### Frederick County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 152.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 146.0 to 160.1 and 384 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.2.

#### Talbot County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 152.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 139.0 to 166.6 and 107 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.8.

#### Garrett County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 148.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 132.2 to 165.8 and 65 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.1.

#### Howard County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 127.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 122.0 to 134.1 and 368 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -2.1.

#### Montgomery County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 161.4? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 117.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 114.9 to 120.7 and 1,332 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.9.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/18/2019 4:45 pm.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2015 US Population Data File is used for mortality data.
The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Healthy People 2020 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availablility, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.