Mortality > Table > Interpret

Interpretation of Death Rates Data

Death Rate Report for New Jersey by CountyLung & Bronchus, 2016-2020All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Recentaapc

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 25.1 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

New Jersey

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 30.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.8 to 30.7 and 3,442 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.2 to -4.5.

United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 35.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.9 to 35.0 and 142,497 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -4.6.

Cumberland County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 45.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 41.2 to 50.3 and 81 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 4)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.8.

Salem County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 47.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 41.3 to 54.6 and 43 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 4)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -0.8.

Warren County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 37.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.2 to 42.4 and 57 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (2, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.3.

Sussex County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 35.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.9 to 39.9 and 68 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (3, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.4.

Hunterdon County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 25.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.8 to 28.7 and 44 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (12, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -2.2.

Camden County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 36.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.5 to 38.9 and 229 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (4, 10)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -2.5.

Ocean County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 38.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.0 to 40.5 and 395 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (3, 8)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -2.6.

Monmouth County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 32.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.7 to 34.2 and 278 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (9, 12)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -3.2.

Gloucester County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 41.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.9 to 45.1 and 150 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (1, 6)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -2.8.

Morris County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 26.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.2 to 27.8 and 174 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (12, 20)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.5 to -3.4.

Atlantic County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 36.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.9 to 39.6 and 135 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (3, 10)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -3.4.

Mercer County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 29.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.1 to 31.6 and 133 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (11, 15)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.1 to -2.7.

Middlesex County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 27.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.6 to 28.6 and 266 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (12, 18)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.8 to -2.6.

Bergen County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 25.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.4 to 27.0 and 331 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (13, 20)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -5.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.3 to -3.3.

Passaic County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 26.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.2 to 28.0 and 153 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (12, 20)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -5.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.4 to -3.5.

Cape May County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 37.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.4 to 41.8 and 68 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (3, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -6.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.4 to -2.9.

Somerset County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 23.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.0 to 25.2 and 98 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (16, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -6.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.4 to -3.1.

Union County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 24.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.5 to 26.0 and 156 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (14, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -6.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.4 to -4.4.

Hudson County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 24.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.3 to 25.7 and 156 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (14, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -7.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.7 to -3.5.

Burlington County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 33.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.4 to 35.6 and 201 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (7, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -7.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.8 to -3.1.

Essex County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 25.1? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 25.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.1 to 27.2 and 225 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (13, 20)
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -11.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -17.2 to -4.5.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/27/2023 7:44 am.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
‡ The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.

Healthy People 2030 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.

When displaying county information, the CI*Rank for the state is not shown because it's not comparable. To see the state CI*Rank please view the statistics at the US By State level.