Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report for New Jersey by CountyBreast, 2011-2015All Races (includes Hispanic), Female, All AgesSorted by Count

Explanation of Column Headers

Objective - The objective of 20.7 is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

• Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### New Jersey

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 22.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.9 to 23.0 and 1,323 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -2.1.

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 20.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.8 to 21.0 and 41,135 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -1.3.

#### Bergen County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.0 to 22.1 and 139 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -2.5.

#### Essex County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 23.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.8 to 25.9 and 110 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -2.1.

#### Monmouth County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 24.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.3 to 26.6 and 108 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.8.

#### Middlesex County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.5 to 23.3 and 108 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -1.9.

#### Ocean County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.5 to 23.5 and 108 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -2.0.

#### Camden County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 26.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.0 to 29.2 and 86 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.5.

#### Union County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 22.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.1 to 24.8 and 77 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -1.7.

#### Burlington County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 24.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.2 to 27.4 and 77 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.2.

#### Hudson County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.1 to 23.5 and 73 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.7.

#### Passaic County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 23.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.3 to 26.4 and 72 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.0.

#### Morris County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 20.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.7 to 23.2 and 72 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -1.9.

#### Mercer County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.8 to 24.4 and 51 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -2.2.

#### Somerset County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 21.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.7 to 24.4 and 48 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -1.8.

#### Atlantic County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 24.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.2 to 27.9 and 45 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.1.

#### Gloucester County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 24.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.5 to 28.2 and 45 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -0.9.

#### Sussex County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 19.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.6 to 24.0 and 19 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -1.0.

#### Cape May County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.1 to 25.7 and 19 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.6 to -0.4.

#### Cumberland County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 18.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 14.5 to 22.5 and 17 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -1.3.

#### Hunterdon County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : Yes
• Rate : The death rate is 20.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.4 to 25.8 and 17 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -0.3.

#### Warren County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 22.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.6 to 27.8 and 17 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -0.7.

#### Salem County

• Met Healthy People Objective of 20.7? : No
• Rate : The death rate is 25.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.4 to 34.0 and 12 average annual deaths over 2011-2015.
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 0.8.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/18/2019 1:00 am.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2015 US Population Data File is used for mortality data.
The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Healthy People 2020 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availablility, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.