Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1992-2020)
Incidence, Connecticut, All Cancer Sites, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both SexesIncidence, Connecticut, All Cancer Sites, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 29 years and 2 segmentsDuring 1992-2006, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.7 to 2.2.
During 2006-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.1.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 460.2. The estimated rate was 438.5.
In 1993, the observed rate was 422.5. The estimated rate was 444.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 453.9. The estimated rate was 450.0.
In 1995, the observed rate was 450.7. The estimated rate was 455.9.
In 1996, the observed rate was 454.7. The estimated rate was 461.8.
In 1997, the observed rate was 496.1. The estimated rate was 467.8.
In 1998, the observed rate was 467.5. The estimated rate was 473.9.
In 1999, the observed rate was 465.0. The estimated rate was 480.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 495.4. The estimated rate was 486.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 479.5. The estimated rate was 492.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 515.7. The estimated rate was 499.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 481.6. The estimated rate was 505.5.
In 2004, the observed rate was 500.7. The estimated rate was 512.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 540.7. The estimated rate was 518.8.
In 2006, the observed rate was 534.6. The estimated rate was 525.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 488.3. The estimated rate was 516.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 493.4. The estimated rate was 508.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 523.8. The estimated rate was 500.1.
In 2010, the observed rate was 472.8. The estimated rate was 491.9.
In 2011, the observed rate was 519.6. The estimated rate was 483.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 487.9. The estimated rate was 476.0.
In 2013, the observed rate was 460.3. The estimated rate was 468.2.
In 2014, the observed rate was 458.3. The estimated rate was 460.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 447.0. The estimated rate was 453.0.
In 2016, the observed rate was 438.9. The estimated rate was 445.5.
In 2017, the observed rate was 443.2. The estimated rate was 438.3.
In 2018, the observed rate was 426.3. The estimated rate was 431.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 426.3. The estimated rate was 424.0.
In 2020, the observed rate was 366.4. The estimated rate was 0.0.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/29/2024 6:28 am.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
For Hispanic incidence data, NHIA (NAACCR Hispanic Identification Algorithm) was used for Hispanic Ethnicity (see Technical Notes section of the USCS ).
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.