Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1992-2020)
Incidence, Connecticut, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both SexesIncidence, Connecticut, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 29 years and 1 segmentsDuring 1992-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.6.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 567.8. The estimated rate was 559.5.
In 1993, the observed rate was 561.7. The estimated rate was 555.0.
In 1994, the observed rate was 570.6. The estimated rate was 550.6.
In 1995, the observed rate was 516.3. The estimated rate was 546.3.
In 1996, the observed rate was 568.6. The estimated rate was 542.0.
In 1997, the observed rate was 546.2. The estimated rate was 537.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 518.8. The estimated rate was 533.4.
In 1999, the observed rate was 516.4. The estimated rate was 529.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 524.5. The estimated rate was 525.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 493.5. The estimated rate was 520.8.
In 2002, the observed rate was 541.4. The estimated rate was 516.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 494.4. The estimated rate was 512.6.
In 2004, the observed rate was 517.6. The estimated rate was 508.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 474.2. The estimated rate was 504.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 488.6. The estimated rate was 500.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 516.9. The estimated rate was 496.5.
In 2008, the observed rate was 485.7. The estimated rate was 492.6.
In 2009, the observed rate was 521.9. The estimated rate was 488.7.
In 2010, the observed rate was 494.2. The estimated rate was 484.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 471.2. The estimated rate was 481.0.
In 2012, the observed rate was 491.4. The estimated rate was 477.2.
In 2013, the observed rate was 475.8. The estimated rate was 473.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 429.5. The estimated rate was 469.6.
In 2015, the observed rate was 462.7. The estimated rate was 465.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 468.2. The estimated rate was 462.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 465.0. The estimated rate was 458.6.
In 2018, the observed rate was 446.4. The estimated rate was 454.9.
In 2019, the observed rate was 463.6. The estimated rate was 451.3.
In 2020, the observed rate was 389.9. The estimated rate was 0.0.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/18/2024 11:13 pm.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.