State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1992-2021)

Incidence, Connecticut, Prostate, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Incidence, Connecticut, Prostate, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 30 years and 6 segments
During 1992-1996, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -5.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.6 to -3.1.
During 1996-2001, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.3 to 8.8.
During 2001-2004, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -8.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.0 to -4.8.
During 2004-2007, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 6.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.2 to 9.3.
During 2007-2014, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -7.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.8 to -6.6.
During 2014-2021, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 5.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 7.2.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 209.0. The estimated rate was 205.5.
In 1993, the observed rate was 191.0. The estimated rate was 193.5.
In 1994, the observed rate was 178.3. The estimated rate was 182.1.
In 1995, the observed rate was 172.8. The estimated rate was 171.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 167.8. The estimated rate was 161.4.
In 1997, the observed rate was 170.9. The estimated rate was 167.9.
In 1998, the observed rate was 163.5. The estimated rate was 174.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 175.4. The estimated rate was 181.7.
In 2000, the observed rate was 196.5. The estimated rate was 189.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 193.2. The estimated rate was 196.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 185.7. The estimated rate was 180.2.
In 2003, the observed rate was 167.2. The estimated rate was 165.2.
In 2004, the observed rate was 150.6. The estimated rate was 151.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 154.1. The estimated rate was 161.1.
In 2006, the observed rate was 178.1. The estimated rate was 171.2.
In 2007, the observed rate was 179.3. The estimated rate was 182.0.
In 2008, the observed rate was 161.4. The estimated rate was 168.1.
In 2009, the observed rate was 163.2. The estimated rate was 155.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 145.1. The estimated rate was 143.3.
In 2011, the observed rate was 137.1. The estimated rate was 132.4.
In 2012, the observed rate was 113.6. The estimated rate was 122.2.
In 2013, the observed rate was 108.4. The estimated rate was 112.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 103.5. The estimated rate was 104.3.
In 2015, the observed rate was 113.5. The estimated rate was 109.8.
In 2016, the observed rate was 117.5. The estimated rate was 115.7.
In 2017, the observed rate was 126.1. The estimated rate was 122.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 126.1. The estimated rate was 128.5.
In 2019, the observed rate was 134.3. The estimated rate was 135.4.
In 2020, the observed rate was 112.8. The estimated rate was N/A.
In 2021, the observed rate was 149.8. The estimated rate was 150.4.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/05/2025 10:30 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  

  The 2020 incidence rate is displayed but not used in the fit of the trend line(s). Impact of COVID on SEER Cancer Incidence 2020 data.

  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.