State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2018)

Mortality, Connecticut, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 50+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 44 years and 3 segments
During 1975-1989, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 0.2.
During 1989-2003, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to -0.7.
During 2003-2018, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.9.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 705.7. The estimated rate was 703.0.
In 1976, the observed rate was 698.4. The estimated rate was 703.2.
In 1977, the observed rate was 705.1. The estimated rate was 703.4.
In 1978, the observed rate was 689.5. The estimated rate was 703.6.
In 1979, the observed rate was 702.3. The estimated rate was 703.8.
In 1980, the observed rate was 727.9. The estimated rate was 704.0.
In 1981, the observed rate was 688.5. The estimated rate was 704.1.
In 1982, the observed rate was 702.2. The estimated rate was 704.3.
In 1983, the observed rate was 715.7. The estimated rate was 704.5.
In 1984, the observed rate was 702.7. The estimated rate was 704.7.
In 1985, the observed rate was 709.4. The estimated rate was 704.9.
In 1986, the observed rate was 709.1. The estimated rate was 705.1.
In 1987, the observed rate was 709.0. The estimated rate was 705.3.
In 1988, the observed rate was 693.7. The estimated rate was 705.4.
In 1989, the observed rate was 714.4. The estimated rate was 705.6.
In 1990, the observed rate was 680.6. The estimated rate was 699.4.
In 1991, the observed rate was 690.6. The estimated rate was 693.2.
In 1992, the observed rate was 693.3. The estimated rate was 687.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 678.0. The estimated rate was 681.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 676.8. The estimated rate was 675.0.
In 1995, the observed rate was 669.8. The estimated rate was 669.1.
In 1996, the observed rate was 670.6. The estimated rate was 663.2.
In 1997, the observed rate was 663.3. The estimated rate was 657.3.
In 1998, the observed rate was 652.8. The estimated rate was 651.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 643.1. The estimated rate was 645.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 639.0. The estimated rate was 640.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 630.3. The estimated rate was 634.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 627.3. The estimated rate was 628.8.
In 2003, the observed rate was 618.7. The estimated rate was 623.3.
In 2004, the observed rate was 615.0. The estimated rate was 610.4.
In 2005, the observed rate was 600.4. The estimated rate was 597.7.
In 2006, the observed rate was 589.7. The estimated rate was 585.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 566.1. The estimated rate was 573.3.
In 2008, the observed rate was 555.3. The estimated rate was 561.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 549.8. The estimated rate was 549.8.
In 2010, the observed rate was 548.7. The estimated rate was 538.4.
In 2011, the observed rate was 533.0. The estimated rate was 527.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 511.6. The estimated rate was 516.3.
In 2013, the observed rate was 496.1. The estimated rate was 505.6.
In 2014, the observed rate was 490.3. The estimated rate was 495.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 489.8. The estimated rate was 484.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 481.3. The estimated rate was 474.9.
In 2017, the observed rate was 469.9. The estimated rate was 465.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 448.6. The estimated rate was 455.4.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/29/2021 11:58 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2017) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2017 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2017 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2017 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.