Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1992-2020)
Incidence, Hawaii, All Cancer Sites, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both SexesIncidence, Hawaii, All Cancer Sites, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 29 years and 2 segmentsDuring 1992-2002, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 4.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.5 to 14.6.
During 2002-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 1.6.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 311.4. The estimated rate was 320.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 366.1. The estimated rate was 335.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 358.1. The estimated rate was 351.1.
In 1995, the observed rate was 322.5. The estimated rate was 367.2.
In 1996, the observed rate was 370.7. The estimated rate was 384.0.
In 1997, the observed rate was 405.2. The estimated rate was 401.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 411.1. The estimated rate was 420.1.
In 1999, the observed rate was 477.6. The estimated rate was 439.4.
In 2000, the observed rate was 483.6. The estimated rate was 459.5.
In 2001, the observed rate was 464.4. The estimated rate was 480.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 511.2. The estimated rate was 502.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 589.1. The estimated rate was 507.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 516.3. The estimated rate was 511.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 547.9. The estimated rate was 515.9.
In 2006, the observed rate was 460.3. The estimated rate was 520.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 526.2. The estimated rate was 525.0.
In 2008, the observed rate was 525.2. The estimated rate was 529.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 546.8. The estimated rate was 534.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 435.9. The estimated rate was 538.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 524.0. The estimated rate was 543.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 500.8. The estimated rate was 548.3.
In 2013, the observed rate was 543.8. The estimated rate was 553.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 509.1. The estimated rate was 557.9.
In 2015, the observed rate was 622.8. The estimated rate was 562.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 624.1. The estimated rate was 567.6.
In 2017, the observed rate was 602.3. The estimated rate was 572.6.
In 2018, the observed rate was 581.5. The estimated rate was 577.6.
In 2019, the observed rate was 573.4. The estimated rate was 582.6.
In 2020, the observed rate was 472.8. The estimated rate was 0.0.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/26/2024 12:08 pm.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
For Hispanic incidence data, NHIA (NAACCR Hispanic Identification Algorithm) was used for Hispanic Ethnicity (see Technical Notes section of the USCS ).
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.