State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Hawaii, All Cancer Sites, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 3 segments
During 1990-2003, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.3 to 6.3.
During 2003-2008, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -8.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -19.0 to 3.5.
During 2008-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to 3.2.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 194.2. The estimated rate was 162.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 217.1. The estimated rate was 168.7.
In 1992, the observed rate was 142.5. The estimated rate was 175.1.
In 1993, the observed rate was 126.8. The estimated rate was 181.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 202.3. The estimated rate was 188.5.
In 1995, the observed rate was 125.5. The estimated rate was 195.6.
In 1996, the observed rate was 206.2. The estimated rate was 203.0.
In 1997, the observed rate was 184.8. The estimated rate was 210.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 215.5. The estimated rate was 218.6.
In 1999, the observed rate was 195.3. The estimated rate was 226.9.
In 2000, the observed rate was 276.2. The estimated rate was 235.4.
In 2001, the observed rate was 240.0. The estimated rate was 244.3.
In 2002, the observed rate was 259.5. The estimated rate was 253.5.
In 2003, the observed rate was 274.0. The estimated rate was 263.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 245.9. The estimated rate was 240.8.
In 2005, the observed rate was 225.5. The estimated rate was 220.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 195.3. The estimated rate was 201.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 194.6. The estimated rate was 184.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 168.0. The estimated rate was 169.2.
In 2009, the observed rate was 182.0. The estimated rate was 170.6.
In 2010, the observed rate was 182.3. The estimated rate was 172.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 137.7. The estimated rate was 173.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 195.6. The estimated rate was 174.9.
In 2013, the observed rate was 187.2. The estimated rate was 176.3.
In 2014, the observed rate was 149.7. The estimated rate was 177.8.
In 2015, the observed rate was 148.9. The estimated rate was 179.3.
In 2016, the observed rate was 190.2. The estimated rate was 180.8.
In 2017, the observed rate was 188.1. The estimated rate was 182.3.
In 2018, the observed rate was 177.9. The estimated rate was 183.8.
In 2019, the observed rate was 202.7. The estimated rate was 185.3.
In 2020, the observed rate was 187.7. The estimated rate was 186.9.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/23/2024 6:09 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.

Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.