State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1992-2020)

Incidence, Hawaii, Colon & Rectum, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 29 years and 2 segments
During 1992-2002, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to 1.2.
During 2002-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -3.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.7 to -3.4.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 300.5. The estimated rate was 298.5.
In 1993, the observed rate was 324.6. The estimated rate was 296.0.
In 1994, the observed rate was 265.8. The estimated rate was 293.5.
In 1995, the observed rate was 286.9. The estimated rate was 291.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 278.0. The estimated rate was 288.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 283.3. The estimated rate was 286.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 280.4. The estimated rate was 283.6.
In 1999, the observed rate was 303.1. The estimated rate was 281.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 268.8. The estimated rate was 278.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 283.6. The estimated rate was 276.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 295.5. The estimated rate was 274.1.
In 2003, the observed rate was 255.6. The estimated rate was 263.3.
In 2004, the observed rate was 266.7. The estimated rate was 252.9.
In 2005, the observed rate was 212.0. The estimated rate was 243.0.
In 2006, the observed rate was 226.0. The estimated rate was 233.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 210.2. The estimated rate was 224.2.
In 2008, the observed rate was 223.7. The estimated rate was 215.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 217.6. The estimated rate was 206.9.
In 2010, the observed rate was 197.6. The estimated rate was 198.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 192.2. The estimated rate was 190.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 174.4. The estimated rate was 183.4.
In 2013, the observed rate was 173.0. The estimated rate was 176.2.
In 2014, the observed rate was 170.6. The estimated rate was 169.3.
In 2015, the observed rate was 160.7. The estimated rate was 162.6.
In 2016, the observed rate was 158.8. The estimated rate was 156.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 160.0. The estimated rate was 150.0.
In 2018, the observed rate was 137.7. The estimated rate was 144.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 141.0. The estimated rate was 138.5.
In 2020, the observed rate was 132.0. The estimated rate was 0.0.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/18/2024 5:02 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.