State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2020)

Mortality, Iowa, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, Iowa, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 31 years and 1 segments
During 1990-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 318.2. The estimated rate was 333.0.
In 1991, the observed rate was 366.8. The estimated rate was 326.9.
In 1992, the observed rate was 331.8. The estimated rate was 320.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 323.4. The estimated rate was 315.0.
In 1994, the observed rate was 305.9. The estimated rate was 309.2.
In 1995, the observed rate was 325.0. The estimated rate was 303.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 258.2. The estimated rate was 297.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 222.1. The estimated rate was 292.5.
In 1998, the observed rate was 299.5. The estimated rate was 287.1.
In 1999, the observed rate was 315.8. The estimated rate was 281.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 257.9. The estimated rate was 276.6.
In 2001, the observed rate was 273.3. The estimated rate was 271.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 281.7. The estimated rate was 266.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 254.9. The estimated rate was 261.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 239.9. The estimated rate was 256.9.
In 2005, the observed rate was 259.8. The estimated rate was 252.1.
In 2006, the observed rate was 233.8. The estimated rate was 247.5.
In 2007, the observed rate was 254.8. The estimated rate was 243.0.
In 2008, the observed rate was 228.3. The estimated rate was 238.5.
In 2009, the observed rate was 226.6. The estimated rate was 234.1.
In 2010, the observed rate was 257.8. The estimated rate was 229.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 230.0. The estimated rate was 225.6.
In 2012, the observed rate was 211.3. The estimated rate was 221.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 220.6. The estimated rate was 217.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 236.6. The estimated rate was 213.4.
In 2015, the observed rate was 147.7. The estimated rate was 209.5.
In 2016, the observed rate was 196.1. The estimated rate was 205.6.
In 2017, the observed rate was 201.6. The estimated rate was 201.8.
In 2018, the observed rate was 219.5. The estimated rate was 198.1.
In 2019, the observed rate was 206.4. The estimated rate was 194.5.
In 2020, the observed rate was 188.1. The estimated rate was 190.9.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/27/2024 5:24 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.