State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2018)

Incidence, New Mexico, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 44 years and 5 segments
During 1975-1988, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 1.7.
During 1988-1992, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 6.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.6 to 10.9.
During 1992-1995, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -6.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -13.6 to 1.7.
During 1995-2003, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 2.1.
During 2003-2018, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.9.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 383.5. The estimated rate was 394.8.
In 1976, the observed rate was 396.4. The estimated rate was 399.2.
In 1977, the observed rate was 392.9. The estimated rate was 403.5.
In 1978, the observed rate was 420.0. The estimated rate was 407.9.
In 1979, the observed rate was 406.6. The estimated rate was 412.4.
In 1980, the observed rate was 427.2. The estimated rate was 416.9.
In 1981, the observed rate was 435.8. The estimated rate was 421.5.
In 1982, the observed rate was 444.2. The estimated rate was 426.1.
In 1983, the observed rate was 421.3. The estimated rate was 430.8.
In 1984, the observed rate was 432.9. The estimated rate was 435.5.
In 1985, the observed rate was 427.9. The estimated rate was 440.3.
In 1986, the observed rate was 439.6. The estimated rate was 445.1.
In 1987, the observed rate was 453.2. The estimated rate was 450.0.
In 1988, the observed rate was 448.7. The estimated rate was 454.9.
In 1989, the observed rate was 484.1. The estimated rate was 482.7.
In 1990, the observed rate was 519.9. The estimated rate was 512.2.
In 1991, the observed rate was 549.3. The estimated rate was 543.5.
In 1992, the observed rate was 583.4. The estimated rate was 576.7.
In 1993, the observed rate was 516.6. The estimated rate was 540.4.
In 1994, the observed rate was 510.7. The estimated rate was 506.4.
In 1995, the observed rate was 474.2. The estimated rate was 474.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 473.8. The estimated rate was 479.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 497.8. The estimated rate was 484.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 482.3. The estimated rate was 489.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 504.6. The estimated rate was 494.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 490.3. The estimated rate was 500.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 512.0. The estimated rate was 505.3.
In 2002, the observed rate was 515.2. The estimated rate was 510.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 499.1. The estimated rate was 516.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 497.0. The estimated rate was 504.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 489.1. The estimated rate was 493.6.
In 2006, the observed rate was 489.3. The estimated rate was 482.7.
In 2007, the observed rate was 493.0. The estimated rate was 472.1.
In 2008, the observed rate was 475.7. The estimated rate was 461.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 458.7. The estimated rate was 451.6.
In 2010, the observed rate was 447.5. The estimated rate was 441.7.
In 2011, the observed rate was 419.9. The estimated rate was 432.0.
In 2012, the observed rate was 395.4. The estimated rate was 422.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 395.9. The estimated rate was 413.2.
In 2014, the observed rate was 408.3. The estimated rate was 404.1.
In 2015, the observed rate was 396.7. The estimated rate was 395.2.
In 2016, the observed rate was 398.8. The estimated rate was 386.6.
In 2017, the observed rate was 387.9. The estimated rate was 378.1.
In 2018, the observed rate was 363.0. The estimated rate was 369.8.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 01/25/2022 1:18 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2018) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2020 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.