State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2019)

Mortality, New Mexico, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 45 years and 1 segments
During 1975-2019, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -1.1.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 238.1. The estimated rate was 270.1.
In 1976, the observed rate was 336.2. The estimated rate was 266.0.
In 1977, the observed rate was 217.1. The estimated rate was 262.0.
In 1978, the observed rate was 257.1. The estimated rate was 258.1.
In 1979, the observed rate was 259.7. The estimated rate was 254.2.
In 1980, the observed rate was 206.3. The estimated rate was 250.4.
In 1981, the observed rate was 207.6. The estimated rate was 246.7.
In 1982, the observed rate was 238.8. The estimated rate was 243.0.
In 1983, the observed rate was 204.1. The estimated rate was 239.3.
In 1984, the observed rate was 266.9. The estimated rate was 235.7.
In 1985, the observed rate was 200.0. The estimated rate was 232.2.
In 1986, the observed rate was 171.5. The estimated rate was 228.7.
In 1987, the observed rate was 177.8. The estimated rate was 225.3.
In 1988, the observed rate was 277.1. The estimated rate was 221.9.
In 1989, the observed rate was 219.4. The estimated rate was 218.6.
In 1990, the observed rate was 220.3. The estimated rate was 215.3.
In 1991, the observed rate was 204.4. The estimated rate was 212.0.
In 1992, the observed rate was 170.6. The estimated rate was 208.9.
In 1993, the observed rate was 217.0. The estimated rate was 205.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 223.1. The estimated rate was 202.6.
In 1995, the observed rate was 269.6. The estimated rate was 199.6.
In 1996, the observed rate was 138.3. The estimated rate was 196.6.
In 1997, the observed rate was 166.1. The estimated rate was 193.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 242.8. The estimated rate was 190.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 213.3. The estimated rate was 187.9.
In 2000, the observed rate was 179.4. The estimated rate was 185.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 231.2. The estimated rate was 182.3.
In 2002, the observed rate was 171.7. The estimated rate was 179.5.
In 2003, the observed rate was 196.8. The estimated rate was 176.8.
In 2004, the observed rate was 195.8. The estimated rate was 174.2.
In 2005, the observed rate was 175.6. The estimated rate was 171.6.
In 2006, the observed rate was 143.9. The estimated rate was 169.0.
In 2007, the observed rate was 126.1. The estimated rate was 166.5.
In 2008, the observed rate was 189.2. The estimated rate was 164.0.
In 2009, the observed rate was 143.5. The estimated rate was 161.5.
In 2010, the observed rate was 186.9. The estimated rate was 159.1.
In 2011, the observed rate was 133.3. The estimated rate was 156.7.
In 2012, the observed rate was 180.2. The estimated rate was 154.3.
In 2013, the observed rate was 177.8. The estimated rate was 152.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 145.2. The estimated rate was 149.7.
In 2015, the observed rate was 126.0. The estimated rate was 147.5.
In 2016, the observed rate was 118.0. The estimated rate was 145.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 139.1. The estimated rate was 143.1.
In 2018, the observed rate was 145.2. The estimated rate was 141.0.
In 2019, the observed rate was 115.3. The estimated rate was 138.8.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/02/2022 8:04 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2018) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2020 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.