State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1992-2021)

Incidence, New Mexico, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Incidence, New Mexico, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 30 years and 1 segments
During 1992-2021, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.5.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 448.9. The estimated rate was 482.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 409.8. The estimated rate was 477.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 436.7. The estimated rate was 471.7.
In 1995, the observed rate was 423.6. The estimated rate was 466.2.
In 1996, the observed rate was 434.9. The estimated rate was 460.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 506.0. The estimated rate was 455.5.
In 1998, the observed rate was 467.4. The estimated rate was 450.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 438.5. The estimated rate was 445.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 448.1. The estimated rate was 440.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 502.7. The estimated rate was 434.9.
In 2002, the observed rate was 505.9. The estimated rate was 429.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 387.1. The estimated rate was 424.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 430.4. The estimated rate was 420.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 364.2. The estimated rate was 415.1.
In 2006, the observed rate was 381.4. The estimated rate was 410.4.
In 2007, the observed rate was 418.6. The estimated rate was 405.6.
In 2008, the observed rate was 443.8. The estimated rate was 400.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 372.5. The estimated rate was 396.3.
In 2010, the observed rate was 420.1. The estimated rate was 391.7.
In 2011, the observed rate was 334.6. The estimated rate was 387.2.
In 2012, the observed rate was 386.1. The estimated rate was 382.8.
In 2013, the observed rate was 407.2. The estimated rate was 378.3.
In 2014, the observed rate was 402.1. The estimated rate was 374.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 354.7. The estimated rate was 369.7.
In 2016, the observed rate was 411.6. The estimated rate was 365.4.
In 2017, the observed rate was 348.8. The estimated rate was 361.2.
In 2018, the observed rate was 388.2. The estimated rate was 357.0.
In 2019, the observed rate was 299.2. The estimated rate was 352.9.
In 2020, the observed rate was 326.8. The estimated rate was N/A.
In 2021, the observed rate was 304.8. The estimated rate was 344.8.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/18/2025 7:35 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  

  The 2020 incidence rate is displayed but not used in the fit of the trend line(s). Impact of COVID on SEER Cancer Incidence 2020 data.

  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.