State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1992-2020)

Incidence, New Mexico, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Incidence, New Mexico, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 29 years and 1 segments
During 1992-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.5.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 448.9. The estimated rate was 477.7.
In 1993, the observed rate was 409.8. The estimated rate was 472.5.
In 1994, the observed rate was 436.7. The estimated rate was 467.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 423.6. The estimated rate was 462.2.
In 1996, the observed rate was 434.9. The estimated rate was 457.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 506.0. The estimated rate was 452.1.
In 1998, the observed rate was 464.0. The estimated rate was 447.1.
In 1999, the observed rate was 434.4. The estimated rate was 442.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 448.1. The estimated rate was 437.4.
In 2001, the observed rate was 499.8. The estimated rate was 432.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 505.9. The estimated rate was 427.8.
In 2003, the observed rate was 387.1. The estimated rate was 423.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 430.4. The estimated rate was 418.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 357.1. The estimated rate was 413.9.
In 2006, the observed rate was 373.2. The estimated rate was 409.3.
In 2007, the observed rate was 418.6. The estimated rate was 404.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 443.8. The estimated rate was 400.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 372.5. The estimated rate was 396.0.
In 2010, the observed rate was 418.2. The estimated rate was 391.7.
In 2011, the observed rate was 334.2. The estimated rate was 387.4.
In 2012, the observed rate was 382.4. The estimated rate was 383.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 400.9. The estimated rate was 378.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 398.2. The estimated rate was 374.8.
In 2015, the observed rate was 351.7. The estimated rate was 370.6.
In 2016, the observed rate was 408.4. The estimated rate was 366.6.
In 2017, the observed rate was 345.9. The estimated rate was 362.6.
In 2018, the observed rate was 375.2. The estimated rate was 358.6.
In 2019, the observed rate was 294.4. The estimated rate was 354.6.
In 2020, the observed rate was 291.7. The estimated rate was 0.0.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/07/2024 6:11 pm.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.