State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2016)

Incidence, Utah, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 42 years and 6 segments
During 1975-1989, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 1.0.
During 1989-1992, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 5.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.1 to 10.1.
During 1992-1995, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.1 to -0.5.
During 1995-1999, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 4.4.
During 1999-2010, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 0.4.
During 2010-2016, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.7.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 342.9. The estimated rate was 341.1.
In 1976, the observed rate was 346.2. The estimated rate was 343.7.
In 1977, the observed rate was 343.0. The estimated rate was 346.3.
In 1978, the observed rate was 346.5. The estimated rate was 348.9.
In 1979, the observed rate was 360.8. The estimated rate was 351.5.
In 1980, the observed rate was 350.4. The estimated rate was 354.2.
In 1981, the observed rate was 357.3. The estimated rate was 356.8.
In 1982, the observed rate was 343.8. The estimated rate was 359.5.
In 1983, the observed rate was 363.6. The estimated rate was 362.2.
In 1984, the observed rate was 365.7. The estimated rate was 364.9.
In 1985, the observed rate was 365.7. The estimated rate was 367.7.
In 1986, the observed rate was 376.4. The estimated rate was 370.4.
In 1987, the observed rate was 387.9. The estimated rate was 373.2.
In 1988, the observed rate was 376.1. The estimated rate was 376.0.
In 1989, the observed rate was 367.4. The estimated rate was 378.8.
In 1990, the observed rate was 395.5. The estimated rate was 397.8.
In 1991, the observed rate was 424.0. The estimated rate was 417.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 440.3. The estimated rate was 438.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 411.6. The estimated rate was 417.4.
In 1994, the observed rate was 394.9. The estimated rate was 397.1.
In 1995, the observed rate was 386.1. The estimated rate was 377.8.
In 1996, the observed rate was 377.5. The estimated rate was 386.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 393.6. The estimated rate was 394.6.
In 1998, the observed rate was 410.2. The estimated rate was 403.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 416.2. The estimated rate was 412.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 402.2. The estimated rate was 412.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 414.3. The estimated rate was 413.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 411.7. The estimated rate was 413.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 416.6. The estimated rate was 414.3.
In 2004, the observed rate was 420.5. The estimated rate was 414.8.
In 2005, the observed rate was 414.0. The estimated rate was 415.3.
In 2006, the observed rate was 417.2. The estimated rate was 415.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 413.5. The estimated rate was 416.4.
In 2008, the observed rate was 416.3. The estimated rate was 416.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 414.6. The estimated rate was 417.5.
In 2010, the observed rate was 420.8. The estimated rate was 418.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 418.0. The estimated rate was 412.7.
In 2012, the observed rate was 404.6. The estimated rate was 407.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 394.4. The estimated rate was 402.3.
In 2014, the observed rate was 398.2. The estimated rate was 397.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 400.0. The estimated rate was 392.1.
In 2016, the observed rate was 383.7. The estimated rate was 387.1.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/07/2020 5:37 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.7.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2016 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2017 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2016 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.