State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2018)

Incidence, Utah, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 44 years and 5 segments
During 1975-1989, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 1.1.
During 1989-1992, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 11.1.
During 1992-1995, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.3 to 1.2.
During 1995-2004, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.7 to 1.8.
During 2004-2018, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.7 to -0.3.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 343.1. The estimated rate was 341.2.
In 1976, the observed rate was 346.3. The estimated rate was 343.8.
In 1977, the observed rate was 343.1. The estimated rate was 346.4.
In 1978, the observed rate was 346.6. The estimated rate was 349.0.
In 1979, the observed rate was 361.1. The estimated rate was 351.6.
In 1980, the observed rate was 350.5. The estimated rate was 354.3.
In 1981, the observed rate was 357.4. The estimated rate was 357.0.
In 1982, the observed rate was 343.7. The estimated rate was 359.7.
In 1983, the observed rate was 363.6. The estimated rate was 362.4.
In 1984, the observed rate was 365.8. The estimated rate was 365.1.
In 1985, the observed rate was 366.2. The estimated rate was 367.9.
In 1986, the observed rate was 376.6. The estimated rate was 370.7.
In 1987, the observed rate was 387.9. The estimated rate was 373.5.
In 1988, the observed rate was 376.1. The estimated rate was 376.3.
In 1989, the observed rate was 367.6. The estimated rate was 379.1.
In 1990, the observed rate was 395.5. The estimated rate was 397.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 424.1. The estimated rate was 416.9.
In 1992, the observed rate was 440.2. The estimated rate was 437.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 411.8. The estimated rate was 418.8.
In 1994, the observed rate was 395.1. The estimated rate was 401.2.
In 1995, the observed rate was 386.4. The estimated rate was 384.3.
In 1996, the observed rate was 377.6. The estimated rate was 389.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 393.8. The estimated rate was 394.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 410.5. The estimated rate was 399.0.
In 1999, the observed rate was 416.5. The estimated rate was 404.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 402.5. The estimated rate was 409.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 420.1. The estimated rate was 414.2.
In 2002, the observed rate was 417.1. The estimated rate was 419.4.
In 2003, the observed rate was 423.3. The estimated rate was 424.6.
In 2004, the observed rate was 427.4. The estimated rate was 430.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 420.8. The estimated rate was 428.0.
In 2006, the observed rate was 425.0. The estimated rate was 425.9.
In 2007, the observed rate was 420.7. The estimated rate was 423.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 422.7. The estimated rate was 421.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 421.4. The estimated rate was 419.9.
In 2010, the observed rate was 426.7. The estimated rate was 417.9.
In 2011, the observed rate was 427.0. The estimated rate was 416.0.
In 2012, the observed rate was 413.9. The estimated rate was 414.0.
In 2013, the observed rate was 403.4. The estimated rate was 412.1.
In 2014, the observed rate was 406.0. The estimated rate was 410.1.
In 2015, the observed rate was 410.6. The estimated rate was 408.2.
In 2016, the observed rate was 398.9. The estimated rate was 406.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 403.0. The estimated rate was 404.3.
In 2018, the observed rate was 408.0. The estimated rate was 402.4.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 09/26/2022 5:51 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2018) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2020 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.