Historical Trends > Interpret
Interpretation of Historical Trends Data
Historical Trends (1992-2020)
Incidence, Utah, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, MaleIncidence, Utah, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male
Line graph with 29 years and 5 segmentsDuring 1992-1995, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -7.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.8 to -4.6.
During 1995-2003, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.8 to 3.6.
During 2003-2010, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.6.
During 2010-2013, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.8 to -1.7.
During 2013-2020, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 2.0.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 580.0. The estimated rate was 571.3.
In 1993, the observed rate was 520.2. The estimated rate was 530.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 488.4. The estimated rate was 492.9.
In 1995, the observed rate was 457.1. The estimated rate was 457.9.
In 1996, the observed rate was 457.1. The estimated rate was 464.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 479.4. The estimated rate was 471.3.
In 1998, the observed rate was 478.6. The estimated rate was 478.2.
In 1999, the observed rate was 508.2. The estimated rate was 485.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 478.3. The estimated rate was 492.2.
In 2001, the observed rate was 500.0. The estimated rate was 499.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 501.3. The estimated rate was 506.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 518.0. The estimated rate was 514.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 516.2. The estimated rate was 511.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 497.1. The estimated rate was 509.4.
In 2006, the observed rate was 503.4. The estimated rate was 507.1.
In 2007, the observed rate was 518.1. The estimated rate was 504.7.
In 2008, the observed rate was 496.7. The estimated rate was 502.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 496.2. The estimated rate was 500.1.
In 2010, the observed rate was 493.8. The estimated rate was 497.8.
In 2011, the observed rate was 489.2. The estimated rate was 478.8.
In 2012, the observed rate was 462.4. The estimated rate was 460.6.
In 2013, the observed rate was 440.8. The estimated rate was 443.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 441.7. The estimated rate was 444.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 444.5. The estimated rate was 445.4.
In 2016, the observed rate was 441.5. The estimated rate was 446.5.
In 2017, the observed rate was 450.1. The estimated rate was 447.7.
In 2018, the observed rate was 460.9. The estimated rate was 448.9.
In 2019, the observed rate was 441.7. The estimated rate was 450.1.
In 2020, the observed rate was 421.1. The estimated rate was 0.0.
Notes:
- Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/18/2024 3:01 pm.
- Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
- 1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
- Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
- If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
- If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
- If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
- If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
- If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.