State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2016)

Mortality, Utah, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 42 years and 3 segments
During 1975-1998, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.3.
During 1998-2008, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -1.5.
During 2008-2016, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.1.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 193.3. The estimated rate was 190.0.
In 1976, the observed rate was 196.4. The estimated rate was 190.1.
In 1977, the observed rate was 183.0. The estimated rate was 190.3.
In 1978, the observed rate was 186.2. The estimated rate was 190.5.
In 1979, the observed rate was 182.9. The estimated rate was 190.7.
In 1980, the observed rate was 191.8. The estimated rate was 190.9.
In 1981, the observed rate was 187.7. The estimated rate was 191.1.
In 1982, the observed rate was 190.9. The estimated rate was 191.3.
In 1983, the observed rate was 188.8. The estimated rate was 191.5.
In 1984, the observed rate was 196.9. The estimated rate was 191.6.
In 1985, the observed rate was 182.3. The estimated rate was 191.8.
In 1986, the observed rate was 198.8. The estimated rate was 192.0.
In 1987, the observed rate was 191.0. The estimated rate was 192.2.
In 1988, the observed rate was 191.8. The estimated rate was 192.4.
In 1989, the observed rate was 204.2. The estimated rate was 192.6.
In 1990, the observed rate was 192.9. The estimated rate was 192.8.
In 1991, the observed rate was 202.6. The estimated rate was 193.0.
In 1992, the observed rate was 198.3. The estimated rate was 193.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 196.1. The estimated rate was 193.3.
In 1994, the observed rate was 191.2. The estimated rate was 193.5.
In 1995, the observed rate was 191.3. The estimated rate was 193.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 184.8. The estimated rate was 193.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 185.7. The estimated rate was 194.1.
In 1998, the observed rate was 195.7. The estimated rate was 194.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 192.3. The estimated rate was 190.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 182.1. The estimated rate was 186.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 183.3. The estimated rate was 182.0.
In 2002, the observed rate was 182.5. The estimated rate was 178.1.
In 2003, the observed rate was 173.5. The estimated rate was 174.2.
In 2004, the observed rate was 169.8. The estimated rate was 170.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 171.2. The estimated rate was 166.8.
In 2006, the observed rate was 160.9. The estimated rate was 163.2.
In 2007, the observed rate was 162.7. The estimated rate was 159.7.
In 2008, the observed rate was 153.1. The estimated rate was 156.3.
In 2009, the observed rate was 150.4. The estimated rate was 155.0.
In 2010, the observed rate was 159.1. The estimated rate was 153.7.
In 2011, the observed rate was 148.8. The estimated rate was 152.4.
In 2012, the observed rate was 154.1. The estimated rate was 151.2.
In 2013, the observed rate was 149.6. The estimated rate was 149.9.
In 2014, the observed rate was 146.2. The estimated rate was 148.7.
In 2015, the observed rate was 148.1. The estimated rate was 147.5.
In 2016, the observed rate was 146.9. The estimated rate was 146.3.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/30/2020 10:04 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.7.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2016 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2017 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2016 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.