State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1990-2018)

Incidence, Utah, All Cancer Sites, API (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Incidence, Utah, All Cancer Sites, API (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 29 years and 3 segments
During 1990-2009, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.5.
During 2009-2012, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 8.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -12.9 to 34.8.
During 2012-2018, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.3 to -0.4.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 228.4. The estimated rate was 313.7.
In 1991, the observed rate was 355.7. The estimated rate was 312.1.
In 1992, the observed rate was 312.5. The estimated rate was 310.6.
In 1993, the observed rate was 341.8. The estimated rate was 309.0.
In 1994, the observed rate was 326.9. The estimated rate was 307.5.
In 1995, the observed rate was 331.3. The estimated rate was 306.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 319.6. The estimated rate was 304.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 240.2. The estimated rate was 303.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 275.5. The estimated rate was 301.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 302.8. The estimated rate was 300.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 246.9. The estimated rate was 298.5.
In 2001, the observed rate was 276.7. The estimated rate was 297.1.
In 2002, the observed rate was 303.4. The estimated rate was 295.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 292.1. The estimated rate was 294.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 335.7. The estimated rate was 292.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 324.3. The estimated rate was 291.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 301.3. The estimated rate was 289.8.
In 2007, the observed rate was 328.2. The estimated rate was 288.4.
In 2008, the observed rate was 286.5. The estimated rate was 286.9.
In 2009, the observed rate was 251.5. The estimated rate was 285.5.
In 2010, the observed rate was 269.5. The estimated rate was 309.5.
In 2011, the observed rate was 330.5. The estimated rate was 335.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 372.8. The estimated rate was 363.6.
In 2013, the observed rate was 334.5. The estimated rate was 351.2.
In 2014, the observed rate was 372.0. The estimated rate was 339.2.
In 2015, the observed rate was 323.0. The estimated rate was 327.6.
In 2016, the observed rate was 314.7. The estimated rate was 316.4.
In 2017, the observed rate was 300.0. The estimated rate was 305.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 295.5. The estimated rate was 295.1.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/20/2022 6:52 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database (2001-2018) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (based on the 2019 submission). Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2020 data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2018 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.