State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1992-2021)

Incidence, Utah, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Incidence, Utah, All Cancer Sites, Black Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 30 years and 1 segments
During 1992-2021, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.2.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 529.6. The estimated rate was 489.6.
In 1993, the observed rate was 493.6. The estimated rate was 486.0.
In 1994, the observed rate was 463.2. The estimated rate was 482.5.
In 1995, the observed rate was 505.7. The estimated rate was 479.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 324.0. The estimated rate was 475.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 505.4. The estimated rate was 472.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 522.8. The estimated rate was 468.6.
In 1999, the observed rate was 291.6. The estimated rate was 465.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 363.9. The estimated rate was 461.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 575.2. The estimated rate was 458.5.
In 2002, the observed rate was 452.3. The estimated rate was 455.1.
In 2003, the observed rate was 467.5. The estimated rate was 451.8.
In 2004, the observed rate was 438.4. The estimated rate was 448.5.
In 2005, the observed rate was 374.4. The estimated rate was 445.2.
In 2006, the observed rate was 424.3. The estimated rate was 442.0.
In 2007, the observed rate was 339.3. The estimated rate was 438.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 514.9. The estimated rate was 435.6.
In 2009, the observed rate was 411.3. The estimated rate was 432.4.
In 2010, the observed rate was 492.1. The estimated rate was 429.3.
In 2011, the observed rate was 508.1. The estimated rate was 426.1.
In 2012, the observed rate was 470.4. The estimated rate was 423.0.
In 2013, the observed rate was 468.4. The estimated rate was 420.0.
In 2014, the observed rate was 366.8. The estimated rate was 416.9.
In 2015, the observed rate was 501.3. The estimated rate was 413.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 335.7. The estimated rate was 410.9.
In 2017, the observed rate was 422.0. The estimated rate was 407.9.
In 2018, the observed rate was 395.5. The estimated rate was 404.9.
In 2019, the observed rate was 424.2. The estimated rate was 402.0.
In 2020, the observed rate was 405.1. The estimated rate was N/A.
In 2021, the observed rate was 326.9. The estimated rate was 396.1.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 01/22/2025 11:07 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.3.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  
  

  The 2020 incidence rate is displayed but not used in the fit of the trend line(s). Impact of COVID on SEER Cancer Incidence 2020 data.

  Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
  
  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.