State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1992-2021)

Incidence, Utah, All Cancer Sites, AI/AN Non-Hispanic, All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 30 years and 1 segments
During 1992-2021, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.3 to 3.0.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 157.8. The estimated rate was 210.7.
In 1993, the observed rate was 208.2. The estimated rate was 214.9.
In 1994, the observed rate was 211.7. The estimated rate was 219.1.
In 1995, the observed rate was 243.7. The estimated rate was 223.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 229.5. The estimated rate was 227.9.
In 1997, the observed rate was 154.8. The estimated rate was 232.4.
In 1998, the observed rate was 183.9. The estimated rate was 237.0.
In 1999, the observed rate was 341.1. The estimated rate was 241.7.
In 2000, the observed rate was 303.5. The estimated rate was 246.5.
In 2001, the observed rate was 289.0. The estimated rate was 251.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 189.2. The estimated rate was 256.4.
In 2003, the observed rate was 268.6. The estimated rate was 261.5.
In 2004, the observed rate was 251.0. The estimated rate was 266.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 329.5. The estimated rate was 271.9.
In 2006, the observed rate was 295.0. The estimated rate was 277.3.
In 2007, the observed rate was 242.2. The estimated rate was 282.8.
In 2008, the observed rate was 301.8. The estimated rate was 288.4.
In 2009, the observed rate was 320.1. The estimated rate was 294.2.
In 2010, the observed rate was 267.7. The estimated rate was 300.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 335.7. The estimated rate was 305.9.
In 2012, the observed rate was 305.6. The estimated rate was 312.0.
In 2013, the observed rate was 370.1. The estimated rate was 318.2.
In 2014, the observed rate was 287.9. The estimated rate was 324.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 310.5. The estimated rate was 330.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 304.8. The estimated rate was 337.5.
In 2017, the observed rate was 337.3. The estimated rate was 344.2.
In 2018, the observed rate was 337.7. The estimated rate was 351.0.
In 2019, the observed rate was 332.3. The estimated rate was 358.0.
In 2020, the observed rate was 290.8. The estimated rate was N/A.
In 2021, the observed rate was 412.5. The estimated rate was 372.3.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 10/06/2024 11:20 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 5.1).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

The 2020 incidence rate is displayed but not used in the fit of the trend line(s). Impact of COVID on SEER Cancer Incidence 2020 data.
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.

Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.