State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2015)

Incidence, Utah, Prostate, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 41 years and 6 segments
During 1975-1989, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.6 to 3.3.
During 1989-1992, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was rising: 22.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.6 to 47.6.
During 1992-1995, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -17.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -30.8 to -1.4.
During 1995-1999, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: 4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.2 to 14.8.
During 1999-2009, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to 0.7.
During 2009-2015, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -9.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.4 to -6.6.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 112.7. The estimated rate was 116.7.
In 1976, the observed rate was 108.8. The estimated rate was 119.0.
In 1977, the observed rate was 117.3. The estimated rate was 121.4.
In 1978, the observed rate was 127.0. The estimated rate was 123.7.
In 1979, the observed rate was 133.8. The estimated rate was 126.2.
In 1980, the observed rate was 134.6. The estimated rate was 128.6.
In 1981, the observed rate was 136.9. The estimated rate was 131.1.
In 1982, the observed rate was 134.0. The estimated rate was 133.7.
In 1983, the observed rate was 131.9. The estimated rate was 136.3.
In 1984, the observed rate was 131.3. The estimated rate was 139.0.
In 1985, the observed rate was 148.6. The estimated rate was 141.7.
In 1986, the observed rate was 153.7. The estimated rate was 144.5.
In 1987, the observed rate was 143.7. The estimated rate was 147.3.
In 1988, the observed rate was 147.2. The estimated rate was 150.2.
In 1989, the observed rate was 141.7. The estimated rate was 153.1.
In 1990, the observed rate was 188.1. The estimated rate was 187.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 246.6. The estimated rate was 229.7.
In 1992, the observed rate was 279.8. The estimated rate was 281.4.
In 1993, the observed rate was 223.2. The estimated rate was 232.3.
In 1994, the observed rate was 182.5. The estimated rate was 191.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 157.9. The estimated rate was 158.4.
In 1996, the observed rate was 168.4. The estimated rate was 166.0.
In 1997, the observed rate was 191.9. The estimated rate was 174.1.
In 1998, the observed rate was 171.6. The estimated rate was 182.5.
In 1999, the observed rate was 189.4. The estimated rate was 191.3.
In 2000, the observed rate was 177.9. The estimated rate was 190.0.
In 2001, the observed rate was 187.6. The estimated rate was 188.7.
In 2002, the observed rate was 192.4. The estimated rate was 187.4.
In 2003, the observed rate was 194.1. The estimated rate was 186.1.
In 2004, the observed rate was 192.5. The estimated rate was 184.8.
In 2005, the observed rate was 177.0. The estimated rate was 183.5.
In 2006, the observed rate was 183.4. The estimated rate was 182.3.
In 2007, the observed rate was 184.7. The estimated rate was 181.0.
In 2008, the observed rate was 176.2. The estimated rate was 179.8.
In 2009, the observed rate was 176.5. The estimated rate was 178.5.
In 2010, the observed rate was 168.1. The estimated rate was 162.5.
In 2011, the observed rate was 158.1. The estimated rate was 147.8.
In 2012, the observed rate was 116.4. The estimated rate was 134.5.
In 2013, the observed rate was 114.4. The estimated rate was 122.4.
In 2014, the observed rate was 106.1. The estimated rate was 111.4.
In 2015, the observed rate was 113.2. The estimated rate was 101.3.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/24/2019 6:58 am.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.6.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The 1969-2015 US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2017 data.

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. 1969-2015 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.