State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1992-2020)

Incidence, Utah, Colon & Rectum, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes

Incidence, Utah, Colon & Rectum, All Races (incl Hisp), Ages 65+, Both Sexes

Line graph with 29 years and 2 segments
During 1992-2002, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was stable: -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to 1.7.
During 2002-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.0 to -3.6.
Yearly points:
In 1992, the observed rate was 254.0. The estimated rate was 241.0.
In 1993, the observed rate was 216.0. The estimated rate was 239.1.
In 1994, the observed rate was 244.1. The estimated rate was 237.2.
In 1995, the observed rate was 235.5. The estimated rate was 235.4.
In 1996, the observed rate was 227.6. The estimated rate was 233.5.
In 1997, the observed rate was 213.5. The estimated rate was 231.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 254.1. The estimated rate was 229.9.
In 1999, the observed rate was 242.5. The estimated rate was 228.1.
In 2000, the observed rate was 227.7. The estimated rate was 226.3.
In 2001, the observed rate was 202.7. The estimated rate was 224.5.
In 2002, the observed rate was 220.6. The estimated rate was 222.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 227.8. The estimated rate was 213.6.
In 2004, the observed rate was 202.4. The estimated rate was 204.8.
In 2005, the observed rate was 201.6. The estimated rate was 196.3.
In 2006, the observed rate was 187.0. The estimated rate was 188.2.
In 2007, the observed rate was 181.5. The estimated rate was 180.5.
In 2008, the observed rate was 180.6. The estimated rate was 173.1.
In 2009, the observed rate was 158.1. The estimated rate was 165.9.
In 2010, the observed rate was 141.3. The estimated rate was 159.1.
In 2011, the observed rate was 154.8. The estimated rate was 152.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 145.0. The estimated rate was 146.3.
In 2013, the observed rate was 150.6. The estimated rate was 140.2.
In 2014, the observed rate was 130.7. The estimated rate was 134.5.
In 2015, the observed rate was 115.6. The estimated rate was 128.9.
In 2016, the observed rate was 118.3. The estimated rate was 123.6.
In 2017, the observed rate was 121.2. The estimated rate was 118.5.
In 2018, the observed rate was 123.2. The estimated rate was 113.6.
In 2019, the observed rate was 111.1. The estimated rate was 109.0.
In 2020, the observed rate was 104.6. The estimated rate was 0.0.

Notes:

• Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/18/2024 4:19 am.
• Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
• ¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).


• Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
  If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
  If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
  If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
  If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
  If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.

  Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html
  
  Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.