State Cancer Profiles

Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (2000-2020)

Incidence, Kentucky, All Cancer Sites, All Races (incl Hisp), All Ages, Male

Line graph with 21 years and 1 segments
During 2000-2020, the APC¹ in the rate of cancer was falling: -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.6.
Yearly points:
In 2000, the observed rate was 637.9. The estimated rate was 650.5.
In 2001, the observed rate was 649.4. The estimated rate was 645.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 646.5. The estimated rate was 640.7.
In 2003, the observed rate was 623.1. The estimated rate was 635.9.
In 2004, the observed rate was 619.7. The estimated rate was 631.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 614.0. The estimated rate was 626.3.
In 2006, the observed rate was 641.3. The estimated rate was 621.6.
In 2007, the observed rate was 629.1. The estimated rate was 616.9.
In 2008, the observed rate was 621.5. The estimated rate was 612.2.
In 2009, the observed rate was 599.8. The estimated rate was 607.6.
In 2010, the observed rate was 617.2. The estimated rate was 603.0.
In 2011, the observed rate was 603.3. The estimated rate was 598.5.
In 2012, the observed rate was 593.7. The estimated rate was 594.0.
In 2013, the observed rate was 589.2. The estimated rate was 589.5.
In 2014, the observed rate was 587.4. The estimated rate was 585.0.
In 2015, the observed rate was 576.3. The estimated rate was 580.6.
In 2016, the observed rate was 569.7. The estimated rate was 576.2.
In 2017, the observed rate was 569.6. The estimated rate was 571.9.
In 2018, the observed rate was 564.0. The estimated rate was 567.6.
In 2019, the observed rate was 563.2. The estimated rate was 563.3.
In 2020, the observed rate was 507.8. The estimated rate was 0.0.

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/26/2024 11:33 pm.
Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program (Version 4.8.0.0).
¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).

Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend:
If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling.
If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling.
If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable.
If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising.
If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program and the National Program of Cancer Registries SEER*Stat Database United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. The US Population Data File is used with SEER data. Rates and trends in this graph are computed using the same standard for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: (<1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US populations included with the data release have been adjusted for the population shifts due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita for 62 counties and parishes in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas. US Population Data File is used with mortality data.

Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected racial groups or counties.