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Interpretation of Historical Trends Data

Historical Trends (1975-2019)

Mortality, Kentucky, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, Kentucky, All Cancer Sites, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Line graph with 45 years and 3 segments
During 1975-1992, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 1.3.
During 1992-2009, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.4.
During 2009-2019, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -2.3.
Yearly points:
In 1975, the observed rate was 265.8. The estimated rate was 279.4.
In 1976, the observed rate was 275.8. The estimated rate was 281.9.
In 1977, the observed rate was 289.3. The estimated rate was 284.4.
In 1978, the observed rate was 281.3. The estimated rate was 287.0.
In 1979, the observed rate was 289.9. The estimated rate was 289.6.
In 1980, the observed rate was 303.4. The estimated rate was 292.2.
In 1981, the observed rate was 292.0. The estimated rate was 294.9.
In 1982, the observed rate was 290.3. The estimated rate was 297.5.
In 1983, the observed rate was 318.3. The estimated rate was 300.2.
In 1984, the observed rate was 332.2. The estimated rate was 302.9.
In 1985, the observed rate was 311.6. The estimated rate was 305.7.
In 1986, the observed rate was 301.0. The estimated rate was 308.4.
In 1987, the observed rate was 291.1. The estimated rate was 311.2.
In 1988, the observed rate was 320.8. The estimated rate was 314.0.
In 1989, the observed rate was 297.4. The estimated rate was 316.9.
In 1990, the observed rate was 313.2. The estimated rate was 319.7.
In 1991, the observed rate was 332.7. The estimated rate was 322.6.
In 1992, the observed rate was 319.4. The estimated rate was 325.5.
In 1993, the observed rate was 321.3. The estimated rate was 319.6.
In 1994, the observed rate was 320.4. The estimated rate was 313.7.
In 1995, the observed rate was 322.0. The estimated rate was 308.0.
In 1996, the observed rate was 287.5. The estimated rate was 302.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 309.7. The estimated rate was 296.8.
In 1998, the observed rate was 275.0. The estimated rate was 291.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 272.2. The estimated rate was 286.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 284.4. The estimated rate was 280.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 277.7. The estimated rate was 275.6.
In 2002, the observed rate was 275.9. The estimated rate was 270.5.
In 2003, the observed rate was 276.9. The estimated rate was 265.6.
In 2004, the observed rate was 254.1. The estimated rate was 260.7.
In 2005, the observed rate was 247.8. The estimated rate was 255.9.
In 2006, the observed rate was 254.7. The estimated rate was 251.2.
In 2007, the observed rate was 246.4. The estimated rate was 246.6.
In 2008, the observed rate was 232.1. The estimated rate was 242.1.
In 2009, the observed rate was 250.1. The estimated rate was 237.7.
In 2010, the observed rate was 229.8. The estimated rate was 230.2.
In 2011, the observed rate was 226.7. The estimated rate was 223.0.
In 2012, the observed rate was 209.5. The estimated rate was 216.1.
In 2013, the observed rate was 211.5. The estimated rate was 209.3.
In 2014, the observed rate was 200.7. The estimated rate was 202.8.
In 2015, the observed rate was 201.2. The estimated rate was 196.4.
In 2016, the observed rate was 189.3. The estimated rate was 190.3.
In 2017, the observed rate was 173.9. The estimated rate was 184.4.
In 2018, the observed rate was 181.4. The estimated rate was 178.6.
In 2019, the observed rate was 177.3. The estimated rate was 173.0.

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